The Toronto Blue Jays (15-16) host the Cleveland Guardians (18-13) for their series opener on Friday, May 2. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SN1 and Guardians TV. It can also be streamed on MLB.TV.
Find our Guardians vs Blue Jays prediction and parlay picks for Friday night below.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Chris Bassitt Under 5.5 Strikeouts
Parlay Odds: +250 (Fanatics)
Guardians vs Blue Jays Odds
Guardians Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+1.5 -154 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | +136 |
Blue Jays Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-1.5 +128 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -162 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
LHP Logan Allen (CLE) | Stat | RHP Chris Bassitt (TOR) |
---|---|---|
1-2 | W-L | 2-2 |
0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
4.21 / 4.57 | ERA /xERA | 2.62 / 3.01 |
4.19 / 5.01 | FIP / xFIP | 2.33 / 2.98 |
1.56 | WHIP | 1.17 |
4.4% | K-BB% | 22.2% |
45.7% | GB% | 44.8% |
95 | Stuff+ | 100 |
94 | Location+ | 107 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Preview, Prop Picks
By Chris Prince
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is starting to heat up and he is one of my favorite bats of the night against Guardians left-hander Logan Allen.
We are getting a very solid price for Guerrero to go over 1.5 total bases at -105. He has a strong history against left-handed pitching, boasting a .399 wOBA and .239 ISO since the start of last season.
Guerrero has a solid .280 ISO against lefties this season along with a strong 68.4% hard-contact rate.
Allen was awful against righties in 2024, coughing up a .407 wOBA and .268 ISO; while he has shown some improvement this year, I'm simply not buying in and he's still allowing a 46.2% hard contact rate and the BABIP for righties is just .266.
Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105; DraftKings)
By Prop Model
The strikeouts prop for Chris Bassitt looks like a strong wager based on the current data. The line of 5.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations. The prop projects to hit 66.08% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 11.12% edge.
Pick: Chris Bassitt Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-122; FanDuel)