The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Colorado Rockies on May 27, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.
The Dodgers are favored by -385 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +300 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rockies vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction
- Rockies vs Dodgers Pick: Dodgers Team Total Over 5.5
My Rockies vs Dodgers best bet is on Los Angeles Total Runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Dodgers Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8.5 -105o / -125u | +300 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8.5 -105o / -125u | -385 |
- Rockies vs Dodgers moneyline: Rockies +300, Dodgers -385
- Rockies vs Dodgers over/under: 8.5 (-105o / -125u)
- Rockies vs Dodgers spread: Dodgers -1.5 (-175 ), Rockies +1.5 (+145)
Rockies vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
| RHP Tomoyuki Sugano (COL) | Stat | RHP Shohei Ohtani (LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | W-L | 4-2 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.8 |
| 3.86 / 7.42 | ERA / xERA | 0.73 / 2.40 |
| 5.11 / 4.89 | FIP / xFIP | 2.38 / 3.11 |
| 5.9% | K-BB% | 21.6% |
| 39.3% | GB% | 50.4% |
| .249 | BABIP | .220 |
| 80 | Stuff+ | 115 |
| 106 | Location+ | 100 |
Rockies vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
When the Rockies signed Tomoyuki Sugano over the offseason, it seemed like an obvious disaster waiting to happen. After all, the 36-year-old was coming off a disappointing first year stateside, which saw him pitch to a 4.64 ERA across 30 starts in Baltimore, and his lack of strikeouts magnified some glaring issues on contact.
Well, it certainly hasn't been a nightmare to this point, but that doesn't mean things can't turn around. Sugano currently owns a 3.86 ERA across 10 starts — a pretty significant sample size at this point — yet he ranks among the worst pitchers in the expected stats.
Sugano holds an incredible low 12.6% strikeout rate, and he's not getting hitters to chase or whiff. The veteran is throwing strikes, and the ball is coming back off the bat hard. His 16.3% barrel rate is the worst among all starting pitchers, and his 46.6% hard-hit rate ranks in the bottom 10% of MLB.
So, what's the meaning of his 3.86 ERA? At this point, after 53 2/3 innings, it's hard to chalk it up to luck, though the fact that he's getting worse points to some awaited regression. He was fine in April with a .233 Expected Batting Average against him, and while his .511 Expected Slugging was high, it wasn't nearly as high as the .711 xSLG he's produced in May. That comes along with a .280 xBA and a huge six-point jump in average launch angle.
Sugano's month has been rough, seeing the right-hander pitch go to a 5.23 ERA, so perhaps this is just who he really was in the first place. I certainly think so, and I don't think a guy who gives up so much contact in the air (four points above league average) with all the quality contact is going to get away with pitching in Colorado.
Of course, he'll draw a start on the road here, and he's running a 3.25 ERA in those contests versus a 4.50 at home. He will, however, face a Dodgers team with a ton of power and one that's crushing fly-ballers this year.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Dodgers will turn the ball over to Shohei Ohtani once again on Wednesday, a man who's been virtually unhittable this season. The righty has allowed just two runs in three starts this month after allowing just two earned runs in April across 24 innings, and while his strikeout numbers have dipped his performance on contact has grown stronger.
Ohtani's come out looking a little different this season, pitching to a very high 51.7% ground-ball rate. He'd only come in above the league average of ~44% twice in his career, and marginally at that, but this season he's pitched to grounders at a clip that's 10 points higher than last season.
That's part of the reason why Ohtani has allowed a homer in just one start this year, and why his Expected Slugging has dropped from a solid .322 to a ridiculous .280. If you can't touch up a power pitcher for a home run every now and then, or draw a walk, there's not much you can do — and Ohtani checks all the boxes in terms of removing those vulnerabilities.
He's still striking guys out, too, coming in with a 28.4% punchout rate that is just outside the top 10% in baseball; it's just that he set the bar so high in 2025 at 33.2%. Perhaps that's just because he spent the offseason tailoring his game to friendlier contact at the age of 31, but whatever the reason, this is probably the best version of Ohtani the pitcher we've ever seen.
Rockies vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis
This one doesn't look very good for the Rockies. Sugano is a fly ball machine that's given up a massive number of barrels, and he'll be serving up meatballs to a Dodgers team that ranks third in baseball in Isolated Power and owns a beefy .201 ISO in the last two weeks.
On top of that, the wind should be blowing out to center at Dodger Stadium, so even though this game is set to be played in slightly chillier conditions, it shouldn't mean the threat of the home run is gone. In fact, these two teams combined to hit eight home runs on Tuesday, with L.A. accounting for five, so I think the home run is going to be a huge thorn in Sugano's side here.
Colorado, meanwhile, is last in baseball with a 63 wRC+ over the last two weeks, and it's a team that has swung the bat a ton to little success. It's leading the league in swing rate but hitting just .230 with a weak .104 ISO, meaning there's nothing dangerous happening on contact. Ohtani should cruise, then, even if his strikeout numbers aren't massive. He's been reigned in a bit this month with two starts ending before 90 pitches, but he should make quick work of these hitters with all the swings.
That should keep him in the game, and frankly, Sugano may stick around in this game longer than Colorado would like with long-man Zach Agnos working last night and the previous long-man, Tanner Gordon, now joining the rotation. Colorado should have two or three fresh bullpen arms and perhaps Blas Castano for a bulk assignment, but this is looking very bleak. I actually feel better about taking the team total here, because it doesn't seem like it's inflated to the point that the game lines are.
Pick: Dodgers Team Total Over 5.5 (+110) | Play to -110
