The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Colorado Rockies on August 23, 2025. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rockies vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Rockies vs Pirates Prediction
- Rockies vs Pirates picks: Under 8
My Rockies vs Pirates best bet is Under 8. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rockies vs Pirates Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -142 | 8 -110o / -110u | +153 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +119 | 8 -110o / -110u | -181 |
Rockies vs Pirates Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Kyle Freeland (COL) | Stat | RHP Mike Burrows (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-12 | W-L | 1-4 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 5.16 / 5.31 | ERA /xERA | 4.46 / 4.29 |
| 4.33 / 4.32 | FIP / xFIP | 4.53 / 3.98 |
| 1.50 | WHIP | 1.27 |
| 10.2% | K-BB% | 15.0% |
| 43.7% | GB% | 42.1% |
| 88 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 102 | Location+ | 100 |
Rockies vs Pirates Prediction, Betting Analysis
This MLB betting system, titled "Steam Unders with Low OU Support", is built on the premise that sharp money moving totals downward, paired with weak public support on the under, creates an exploitable edge in the betting market.
It isolates games where the over/under line has dropped significantly from open to close, signaling smart money on the under, yet public sentiment heavily favors the over, with only a small share of bets backing the under.
This mismatch between money and ticket count indicates potential value, especially when the difference between those two figures is meaningful but not extreme.
It also requires both teams to have a recent record of games that hover around the total, suggesting no extreme streaks skewing expectations.
Ultimately, this system looks for low-confidence unders that have been steamed down by sharp bettors, where public interest is light and the number still sits within a realistic scoring range. The result is a consistent edge, backed by a high sample size and strong return on investment.
Pick: Under 8
