The Toronto Blue Jays host the Kansas City Royals on August 2, 2025. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSKC.
Read our Royals vs Blue Jays prediction and MLB pick below.
My Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Royals vs Blue Jays Picks: Under 8
My Royals vs Blue Jays best bet is on the Under, with the best odds currently on BetMGM. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Royals vs Blue Jays Odds
| Royals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -163 | 8 -115o / -105u | +129 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 8 -115o / -105u | -157 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Noah Cameron (KCR) | Stat | RHP Max Scherzer (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 1.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 2.44 / 3.00 | ERA / xERA | 4.89 / 3.70 |
| 3.67 / 3.85 | FIP / xFIP | 4.61 / 3.82 |
| 1.00 | WHIP | 1.15 |
| 15.0% | K-BB% | 22.3% |
| 44.4% | GB% | 24.2% |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 108 |
| 102 | Location+ | 103 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Analysis
Evan Abrams' Steam Unders with Low OU Support system is built on the premise that sharp money moving totals downward, paired with weak public support on the under, creates an exploitable edge in the betting market.
The strategy focuses on regular season games from 2019 to 2025, where the closing total lands between 8 and 10, sweet spots for scoring volatility.
It isolates games where the over/under line has dropped significantly from open to close, signaling smart money on the under. Yet, public sentiment heavily favors the over, with only a small share of bets backing the under.
To reduce noise, the system excludes games played in extreme heat or cold, only including those where temperatures range from mild to warm. It also requires both teams to have a recent record of games that hover around the total, suggesting no extreme streaks skewing expectations.
These filters ensure that neither team is riding unsustainable over or under trends.
Ultimately, this system looks for low-confidence unders that have been steamed down by sharp bettors, where public interest is light and the number still sits within a realistic scoring range. The result is a consistent edge, backed by a high sample size and strong return on investment.
Pick: Under 8
