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Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, September 25

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, September 25 article feature image
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Photo by Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images. Pictured: Yoshinobu Yamamoto

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Los Angeles Dodgers on September 25, 2025. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.

After splitting the first two games, this series finale will feature the Dodgers' Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Diamondbacks' Jalen Beeks on the mound.

Find my MLB betting preview and Dodgers vs Diamondbacks prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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My Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Dodgers vs Diamondbacks pick: Over 8.5 (-105)

My Dodgers vs Diamondbacks best bet is Over 8.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Odds

Dodgers Logo
Thursday, Sep 25
3:40 p.m. ET
SportsNet LA
Diamondbacks Logo
Dodgers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+110
8.5
-105o / -115u
-160
Diamondbacks Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-130
8.5
-105o / -115u
+135
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
bet365 Logo

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD)StatLHP Jalen Beeks (ARI)
11-8W-L5-2
4.7fWAR (FanGraphs)0.3
2.58 / 2.70ERA / xERA3.67 / 3.69
2.99 / 3.05FIP / xFIP3.83 / 4.26
0.99WHIP1.08
20.8K-BB%11.5
52.5GB%47.1
98Stuff+95
110Location+90

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Preview

The first two games of this series finished with the same exact total and score: nine runs (5-4). That was even with great outings from the Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani and Blake Snell, and quality starts from the Diamondbacks' Ryne Nelson and Brandon Pfaadt.

So that means both lineups are more than capable of hitting each other's relief corps. Arizona's bullpen ranks 27th in the majors with a 4.81 ERA, and Los Angeles is not far, sitting at 22nd (4.34).

The Dodgers have the third-best offense in wRC+ (113) this season, while the Diamondbacks are 7th with a 109 wRC+ rating.

Plus, Arizona will send reliever Jalen Beeks to the mound, in what will only be his second start this season. The lefty will probably be followed by several of his bullpen teammates.

This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation to stay with the over for this series finale.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams – Late Season Overs, Lower Totals — COL, ARI, WAS Home (YEAR)
the game was played during the 2025 or 2024 or 2023 or 2022 or 2021 or 2018 or 2017 or 2016 or 2015 or 2014 season
the game was played in September or August or October
the closing total is between 0 and 10.5
betting on the Over
the game is played during the Regular season
the home team is Washington Nationals or Arizona Diamondbacks or Colorado Rockies
$5,908
WON
354-271-32
RECORD
57%
WIN%

Late in the MLB season, games played in hitter-friendly or high-variance environments — such as in Colorado, Arizona, and Washington — tend to go over the total when the closing line is modest (≤10.5).

These markets often underestimate run production during the final stretch of the season due to weather conditions (e.g., dry heat in AZ/CO, humid air in DC) and expanded rosters increasing bullpen volatility.

Public perception around fatigue or playoff pressure may further depress totals.

This creates value when betting overs in August to October for these specific home teams, particularly during regular-season games.

Pick: Over 8.5 (-105, bet365)


Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Betting Trends


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