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Mariners vs. Rangers MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Follow Credible Line Movement (Saturday, August 13)

Mariners vs. Rangers MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Follow Credible Line Movement (Saturday, August 13) article feature image
Credit:

Tom Pennington/Getty Images. Pictured: Dane Dunning.

Mariners vs. Rangers Odds

Mariners Odds -105
Rangers Odds -115
Over/Under 8.5
Time 7:15 p.m. ET
TV FOX
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

The Texas Rangers look to pull even in their three-game set against the Seattle Mariners on Saturday night.

After dropping game one by a score of 6-2, the Rangers turn to Dane Dunning to get back in the win column while avoiding a third straight loss. The Rangers are also looking to right a 3-7 record over their past 10 games and avoid falling into fourth place in the AL West.

The Mariners will counter with Marco Gonzalez as he aims to improve upon Seattle’s 7-3 record over their last ten games.

They are also looking to clinch a series victory with a win on Saturday night. Additionally, the Mariners have dominated the season series against the Rangers as they hold a 12-2 record heading into Saturday’s matchup.

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Mariners Fighting Intense Playoff Battle

The Seattle Mariners are trying to hold their place in an incredibly competitive AL Wild Card division. They are one of seven teams with a real chance at clinching a spot in the playoffs, but taking on a division rival is always a tough task at this point in the season.

Marco Gonzalez will make his 23rd start of the season and he has been a weak link in Seattle’s rotation this season. He is also a volatile road pitcher. So far this season he’s posted a 4.47 ERA, a 5.89 FIP, and a 4.71 xFIP over 52 and 1/3 road innings.

The Mariners’ offense has been a little beat up over the past week, but both Julio Rodriguez and Jesse Winker returned to the lineup Friday night and that should give them a boost.

However, generally the Mariners have been struggling on the road against RHP over the past couple of weeks posting an 86 wRC+, which is 18th in MLB.


Rangers Featuring Solid Home Pitching

While Dane Dunning’s win-loss record does not inspire much confidence, he is still a very tough pitcher to face when he pitches at home. His home ERA sits right at 3.00, while he has also posted a 3.75 FIP and a 3.47 xFIP over 57 home innings. He’ll also be backed by a Ranger bullpen that has been a pretty solid unit this season.

On the other side of the ball, the Rangers’ offense has been the sixth best at home against LHP over the past month. Despite being a disappointing group overall, they get a favorable match up against a contact oriented pitcher like Marco Gonzalez. This could be a good opportunity for them to tee off.

The Rangers’ offense is also relatively healthy and seeing an influx of young talent fill out the back of their batting order. This mix of veterans and young talent could give them a slight edge heading into Saturday.

Mariners-Rangers Pick

Although the Mariners hold a considerable edge in the season series, the Rangers moved from the underdog to the favorite overnight. Dane Dunning against Marco Gonzalez is definitely a match up that made the Mariners a fade-able team and it seems bettors picked up on that quickly.

However, the Rangers’ moneyline still holds value despite being the favorite. A -115 moneyline is worth the risk. The Rangers seem to hold an edge this game and their line movement verifies that. If money starts to move to the Mariners, the Rangers’ value could get even better closer to game time.

At any rate, I like the Rangers here at -120 or better.

Pick: Rangers ML -115

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