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New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Same Game Parlay | MLB Bets For Pete Alonso, David Peterson (Friday, March 31)

New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Same Game Parlay | MLB Bets For Pete Alonso, David Peterson (Friday, March 31) article feature image

Todd Kirkland/Getty Images. Pictured: David Peterson

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

Friday, March 31st
6:40 p.m. ET
MLB Network
New York Mets Odds
MoneylineTotalRun Line
-110 / -110
Miami Marlins Odds
MoneylineTotalRun Line
-110 / -110
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.

Major League Baseball’s Opening Day came and went Thursday and, despite the victory, it was a bit of a mixed bag for the New YorkMets.

The Mets started the day with some bad news on the injury front. After losing All-Star closer Edwin Diaz for the entire season with a knee injury he suffered celebrating a win in the World Baseball Classic, defending Cy Young award winner Justin Verlander hit the injured list with a teres major strain before the Mets had even played a game.

Once the first pitch was thrown, the Mets got back on track with their ace, Max Scherzer, leading the way to a 5-3 victory over the Marlins in Miami.

New York will look to make it two in a row in the sunshine state Friday night.

The Parlay (+945):

  • Mets Moneyline
  • David Peterson 6+ Strikeouts
  • Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run

Same-Game Parlay – Mets vs. Marlins

Mets Moneyline

The Marlins scream pretender to me despite some of the moves they made this past offseason. Their rotation is solid and they tried to add to their offense by flipping Pablo Lopez to the Twins for infielder Luis Arraez. They also signed veteran infielder Jean Segura for the top of their lineup.

The problem, however, is the middle of their order. There’s no meat in this sandwich. Jorge Soler is the only hitter on Miami that had an ISO above .200 against left-handed pitching last season. That doesn’t bode well for them against Mets starter David Peterson, who allowed just a .126 ISO to right-handed hitters last year.

If you want better odds on this parlay, you can take the Mets on the run line -1.5. I avoided that here because it’s early in the season and the Mets used all of their high-leverage relievers in Thursday’s victory, but it is an option.

David Peterson 6+ Strikeouts

Peterson won the fifth starter job for the Mets in spring training as he out-dueled Tylor Megill. Peterson is especially effective against left-handed batters as he had a 33% K% against them last year.

The Marlins had three left-handed batters in their Opening Day lineup against the right-handed Max Scherzer, but could have as few as one lefty in the lineup Friday.

Still, Peterson had a 26% K% against right-handed batters last year and the Marlins strike out a ton as a collective lineup. Miami has six hitters in their projected lineup Friday that had at least a 27% K% against left-handed pitching last year.

Also, if Opening Day was any indication, racking up strikeouts is even easier for pitchers with the new pitch clock rules in effect as Gerrit Cole, Shohei Ohtani, Dylan Cease and Logan Webb all struck out at least 10 batters.

Pete Alonso to Hit a Home Run

Pete Alonso went 0-for-4 with a walk and a strikeout on Opening Day, but he should be ready to hit after playing in the World Baseball Classic. Last year, Alonso had hit nine home runs and had a .226 ISO against left-handed pitching.

Miami scheduled starter Jesus Luzardo allowed eight home runs and a .151 ISO to right-handed hitters last year. More importantly, though, is that Alonso had a .270 ISO on the road and Luzardo had a .164 ISO allowed at home.

At these odds, I think it makes sense to take a swing on Alonso powering the Mets to another road win in this one.

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