The Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers on October 8, 2025. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 5:08 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on truTV.z
The Cubs will look to keep their season alive on Wednesday on what is expected to be a windy evening at Wrigley Field. Quinn Priester (3.32 ERA, 157 and 1/3 IP) is set to face off against Jameson Taillon (3.68 ERA, 129 and 2/3 IP).
Find my MLB betting preview and Brewers vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Brewers vs Cubs Prediction
- Brewers vs Cubs picks: Quinn Priester Over 12.5 Outs Recorded +120 (Bet365, Play to +110)
My Brewers vs Cubs best bet is Priester Over 12.5 Outs Recorded. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Cubs Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -240 | 6.5 -120o / 100u | -105 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +195 | 6.5 -120o / 100u | -115 |
Brewers vs Cubs Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Quinn Priester (MIL) | Stat | RHP Jameson Taillon (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 13-3 | W-L | 11-7 |
| 1.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 3.32/3.62 | ERA /xERA | 3.68/3.89 |
| 4.01/3.81 | FIP / xFIP | 4.66/4.34 |
| 1.24 | WHIP | 1.06 |
| 12.6% | K-BB% | 13.7% |
| 56.1% | GB% | 33.8% |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 100 | Location+ | 109 |
Nick Martin’s Brewers vs Cubs Preview
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview: Wrigley Field Helping Solid Priester
Quinn Priester recorded a solid outing at Wrigley Field on August 21st, allowing just three hits and one earned run while recording 13 outs. Wrigley offered pitcher-friendly conditions in that matchup (O/U 6.5, final score 4-1), and that is expected to be the case once again tonight, as the forecast calls for 62-degree temperatures and 8-10 MPH winds blowing in from center field.
He has proven to be another savvy acquisition for a Brewers front office that can seemingly do no wrong, as the 25-year-old righty pitched to an ERA of 3.32 and an xFIP of 3.81 this season. Priester entered the playoffs in great form, as over his last 38 and 2/3 innings of work, he has pitched to an ERA of 2.79 and an xFIP of 3.66.
Priester fared relatively well when working for the order for the second time this season, allowing an ERA of 2.05 and a slugging percentage of .401.
The Brewers have quieted concerns about their offensive process in the first two games of this series, hitting to a wRC+ of 165 and displaying plenty of power in hitting three home runs and slugging .529. A cold and windy night at Wrigley likely won't help the Brewers continue their surprising power output. Still, it could be conducive to the way they have more typically generated offense this season.
Milwaukee was one of the few teams that hit to better results on the road this season, with a wRC+ of 110 and a .327 weighted on-base average.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview: Taillon Won't Be the Man for Cubs
Oddsmakers aren't expecting Taillon to pitch overly deep into this matchup, as he holds a betting total of just 10.5 outs. Taillon held an ERA of 1.57 and allowed an xBA of .227 in his final six appearances before the postseason, and pitched very well in the Wild Card round versus the Padres, allowing zero earned runs and two hits across four innings of work.
The Cubs' bullpen grades out as one of the top units in baseball and was highly effective throughout the final month of the season. Chicago's bullpen holds an xFIP of 3.07 and a strikeout minus walk rate of 23.8% over the last month. After an off-day yesterday, Craig Counsell likely will be ready to get Taillon out of this do-or-die game at the first sign of struggle.
Chicago's high-quality lineup refound its form in the final month of the season, hitting to a wRC+ of 112 and ranking sixth in expected weighted on-base average. Six runs and 10 hits in the first two matchups are far from ideal, but have arguably still been a lesser concern than what we have seen from its pitching staff.
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Betting Analysis
Given his recent form and that his effectiveness does not decline that significantly when facing the order for a second time, Priester should have a good chance of pit.
There is some strong logic that suggests Priester may pitch further into this game on average than oddsmakers are expecting. He's been in tremendous form of late and should be aided by favorable conditions in tonight's matchup.
Priester's effectiveness has not declined significantly when working through the order for a second time this season, and he's recorded at least 15 outs in five straight outings. Obviously, that stat does not hold that much relevance entering an elimination playoff game. Still, it suggests that the Brewers may believe he is capable of handling more innings than oddsmakers expect, unless things really go off the rails.
Pick: Quinn Priester Over 12.5 Outs +120 (Bet365, Play to +110)
Moneyline
There does not appear to be value in betting either side to win this matchup.
Run Line (Spread)
There does not appear to be value in betting either side to cover the run-line in this matchup.
Over/Under
Brewers vs Cubs Betting Trends
