The Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers on June 4, 2025. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 12:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSOH.
The Brewers’ eight-game winning streak came to a close on Tuesday, as TJ Friedl reached into the stands to steal a game-tying homer from Jake Bauers. Now the Reds can win a series on Wednesday against the NL Central-leading Brewers.
Find my MLB betting preview and Brewers vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Brewers vs Reds Prediction
- Brewers vs Reds pick: Reds ML (Play to -120)
My Brewers vs Reds best bet is on Reds moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Brewers vs Reds Odds
| Brewers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | +100 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -120 |
Brewers vs Reds Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Andrew Abbott (CIN) | Stat | RHP Quinn Priester (MIL) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 1.51/3.05 | ERA /xERA | 4.09/4.04 |
| 3.13/3.98 | FIP / xFIP | 4.71/4.42 |
| 1.03 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 18.6 | K-BB% | 4.2 |
| 25.9 | GB% | 58.0 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 96 | Location+ | 94 |
Sean Paul’s Brewers vs Reds Preview
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview: Abbott Looks to Stay Hot
Andrew Abbott was the best pitcher in the National League during May, surrendering just two runs in 32 2/3 innings. He was dominant, and he’ll look to provide similar results in his first outing in June.
Regression is inevitable for Abbott, but it’s not a knock on his pitching ability, more so that it's hard to maintain an ERA below 2.00.
That said, Abbott is very legitimate, as his 3.05 xERA and 3.14 FIP indicate. He’s found a strong mixture of holding teams to weak contact, ranking in the 95th percentile in hard-hit rate, while posting a 10.01 K/9.
The one stain on Abbott’s other immaculate resume is his lack of length. He’s gone more than six innings just once during his masterful six-start stretch, while pitching fewer than six innings on four occasions.
Couple that with the shakiness of the Reds' relief corps, and that increases the chances of a late-inning implosion.
For this handicap, let's hope Abbott twirls another six- or seven-inning gem to limit the bullpen's impact.
The Reds' offense has been streaky this year. Early on, they were among the worst offensive teams in MLB. Then the return of Austin Hays vaulted Cincinnati as one of the top-hitting teams for a stretch.
Now the Reds have leveled a bit, sitting 16th in the MLB with a 100 wRC+. Fridel leads the team with a dazzling 176 wRC+ in that span, while Elly De La Cruz trails at 144 wRC+.
The top two bats in the Reds' order need to hit, and they have been lately.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview: Lean on Depth After Streak Ends
Milwaukee will send left-handed opener DL Hall to the mound, followed by starter Quinn Priester. Hall has appeared in just two games this year, with his last outing coming in a three-inning scoreless stint.
For Priester, he's fared quite differently than Abbott, posting a 4.09 ERA with a 4.50 xERA and 4.72 FIP.
Those numbers aren't awful for a backend of the rotation arm, but he also strikes out just 5.68 per nine while walking 4.09 per nine.
I don't have high hopes for Priester. He ranks below the 35th percentile in xBA, average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage.
It's not all awful for Priester, though. He's been able to escape some jams with his pristine 58% ground-ball rate. If he can wrap a few double plays against this Reds offense, it could help him have a strong outing.
Hitting left-handed pitching has been an issue for the Brewers. They rank 17th in MLB with an 85 wRC+, while ranking 27th with a .108 isolated power. Unless Milwaukee can dink and dunk the ball versus Abbott, it'll be tough to hit the long ball, and he doesn't allow many homers anyway.
I can't ignore the Brewers' offensive results over the last few weeks. It would be a bit misleading to include just the now concluded winning streak, but since May 15, the Brewers rank 14th with a 103 wRC+.
I think that speaks to Milwaukee's offense overperforming for a stretch, and it'll return back to its level.
Christian Yelich is hitting a blistering .464 with four homers in his last seven games. He's looking like the former MVP version of himself, and it coincides with the Brewers' hot streak.
They're a different team when Yelich is on fire, so it'll be huge for Abbott to contain Milwaukee's best hitter.
Brewers vs Reds Prediction, Betting Analysis
I'll side with the better pitcher here. Abbott is a pitcher worth backing versus a Milwaukee team that's pretty mediocre versus southpaws.
Also, I don't have any faith in Priester. It's nice that the Brewers have gotten solid innings from him, but he's nothing more than an innings eater.
I'll take the Reds at -120 or better.
Pick: Reds ML (Play to -120)
