The Cincinnati Reds host the Chicago Cubs on July 11, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MARQ.
The Cubs are favored by -115 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are -105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Cubs vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Cubs vs Reds Prediction
- Cubs vs Reds Pick: Kevin Alcantara Under 0.5 Hits (+105; Play to -107)
My Cubs vs Reds best bet is on Kevin Alcantara to go under his hits prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cubs vs Reds Odds
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 10 -110o / -110u | -115 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 10 -110o / -110u | -105 |
- Cubs vs Reds moneyline: Cubs -115, Reds -105
- Cubs vs Reds over/under: 10 (-110o / -110u)
- Cubs vs Reds spread: Cubs -1.5 (+135), Reds +1.5 (-165)
Cubs vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| RHP Javier Assad (CHC) | Stat | LHP Nick Lodolo (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | W-L | 3-2 |
| -0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 4.15/4.66 | ERA / xERA | 4.68/6.11 |
| 5.10/4.66 | FIP / xFIP | 5.03/4.85 |
| 8.0% | K-BB% | 8.6% |
| 42.8% | GB% | 43.4% |
| .224 | BABIP | .306 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 102 | Location+ | 92 |
Cubs vs Reds MLB Betting Preview, Pick
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.57 hits for Kevin Alcantara compared to 0.71 hits implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here.
If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 57% of the time, resulting in a 16% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $16.40.
This play is good down to at least -107.
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Pick: Kevin Alcantara Under 0.5 Hits (+105; Play to -107)
