San Diego Padres vs. Oakland Athletics Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions (Saturday, Sept. 5)
Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images. Pictured: Robbie Grossman (8).
- Check out our betting guide for Saturday's MLB matchup between the San Diego Padres and Oakland Athletics.
- The Athletics' season was briefly stalled due to a positive COVID-19 test last week, and Oakland's layoff rust was obvious on Friday as the Athletics lost 0-7 and extended their losing streak to 3 games.
- However, Michael Arinze believes things should turn around for the A's beginning Saturday afternoon with Manaea on the mound. Read on for updated betting odds, plus his full matchup breakdown, analysis and picks.
Padres vs. Athletics Odds
|Padres Odds||+100 [Bet Now]|
|Athletics Odds||-110 [Bet Now]|
|Over/Under||8.5 (-110/-110) [Bet Now]|
|First Pitch||Saturday, 4:10 p.m. ET|
The Oakland Athletics played for the first time in six days due to preventative measures taken after one of their players tested positive for COVID-19. Oakland’s rust clearly showed as the A’s were shutout by the San Diego Padres 7-0.
The loss extended the Athletics’ losing streak to three games, but this Oakland team has done a remarkable job to avoid long losing streaks in recent years. Dating back June 2017, the Athletics are 14-8 with a return of 7.7 units when trying to avoid a four-game losing streak.
With left-hander Sean Manaea on the mound today, Oakland stands a good chance of ending its short losing streak.
Check out our free MLB odds page, which automatically surfaces the best line for every game.
San Diego Padres
The San Diego Padres will send Chris Paddack to the mound for the middle game of this three-game series. Paddack is 3-3 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. His 4.85 FIP is higher than his ERA, which suggests a possible future increase in his runs allowed.
This season, Paddack has been guilty of allowing the longball. He has a 2.11 HR/9 ratio, which is a 43% increase from the previous year. His batting average against (.257) is also up year-over-year: Paddack allowed a .202 average to opposing hitters last season.
Exculpatory reasoning aside, the reality is that his numbers are down across the board. Maybe it’s the sophomore slump, but teams can definitely get to Chris Paddack.
Sean Manaea’s on a roll. He hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last three starts and the Athletics earned the win in each of them. Manaea has improved his record to 2-2 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. While his numbers don’t appear to be too attractive, his predictive metrics tell a different story.
Manaea sports a 3.80 FIP and 3.82 xFIP. He’s allowing 1.19 home runs per nine innings and has a 1.48 BB/9 ratio. Manaea is also producing the best GB/FB ratio of his career at 1.89. His previous best was 1.27 which occurred in his 2016 rookie season.
One of Manaea’s criticisms is that batters are hitting .306 against him. And when they make contact, they’ve been even more fortunate as that number jumps to .358. At some point, those numbers should start to balance out for Manaea, and his recent form could be a good sign that things are turning around.
Betting Analysis & Pick
Hopefully the Athletics got much of the rust out from their layoff in yesterday’s game. Manaea should give them a boost on the mound as he’s in good form at the moment.
To contrast, Paddack has struggled to string together back-to-back quality appearances. After eight games, the Padres have yet to post consecutive wins in his starts, and his last outing was a 13-2 victory in Colorado.
I mentioned in my opening that Oakland has done well when facing a possible four-game losing streak. Dating back to June 2017 in this spot, the A’s are 14-8 for a net +7.77 units. They’ve done even better coming off a game in which they’ve been shutout as they’re 14-4 for 12.87 units in their last 18 games.
BetMGM is offering the Athletics at -110 for this matchup. That’s a reasonable price to back the home side, and I’ll stake a half-unit on Oakland to snap their losing streak today.
The Pick: Oakland ML -110 (Play up to -120). Risk: 0.5u.