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Tonight, the World Series moves to Tropicana Field for Game 3, and I’ve got two bangers for this Brewers vs. Rays matchup.
Read on for my 2 MLB Home Run Picks for World Series Game 3.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
In the table below, you'll find each of Grant Neiffer's top home run prop picks from today's slate of games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:00 PM | |
| 8:00 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Brewers vs Rays Prediction, Pick
The odds are too high on Jackson Chourio given the spot here.
Rays starter Freddy Peralta has been a below-average matchup for righty power this season, allowing a 0.88 HR/9, but he's due for heavy negative regression given his 8.8% HR/FB rate, grading out as a plus matchup for righty power.
Chourio is a great power bat, and I have the true odds for him at around +430.
Pick: Jackson Chourio Home Run
| |
Brewers vs Rays Prediction, Pick
The odds are a bit high here for Junior Caminero given the spot.
He gets a lefty in Brewers SP Robert Gasser, who has been hit hard by righty power this season, allowing a large 1.57 HR/9.
The ballpark isn't great, but Caminero is one of the best home run hitters in the league.
I have the true odds for him at around +340.
Pick: Junior Caminero Home Run
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