Even with Week 2 on the College Football slate ahead of us, MLB has provided us with three enticing options to cash out.
Our MLB betting systems and experts have looked over the board and found some of the best value. So, continue reading as today's MLB best bets are below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:05 p.m. | |
  | 4:10 p.m. | |
  | 7:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Doug Ziefel's Blue Jays vs Yankees Best Bet: Don't Trust Either Starter
By Doug Ziefel
This is an afternoon matinee where neither starter can be trusted against two of the hottest lineups in baseball. Luis Gil is due for regression as his command has been shaky at best.
Meanwhile, Chris Bassitt does not profile for success in Yankee Stadium, as he does not strike out enough batters, nor does he generate groundballs at a high rate. Take the over as these two teams should trade haymakers with the AL East hanging in the balance.
Pick: Over 9.5 (-115)
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Phillies vs Marlins Best Bet: Value Points to a Low Total
By Action Network Staff
Philadelphia sits as a -150 favorite on the moneyline, while Miami is priced at +125 to score the upset. The full-game total is 8 runs.
The Phillies rolled to a 9-3 win in Friday’s opener behind home runs from Bryson Stott and Brandon Marsh. The NL East leaders have now taken seven of nine meetings with the Marlins this season.
On the mound, Jesus Luzardo gets the call for Philadelphia. The left-hander, who pitched for Miami from 2021-24, is looking for his first win in his third career start against his old club. Opposite him is Sandy Alcantara, a familiar foe for Phillies hitters. The former Cy Young winner owns a 3.78 ERA across 21 starts versus Philadelphia, the most he has against any opponent.
The betting angle here comes from Evan Abrams’ “Low Total Unders with Line Movement (F5)” system. This model targets early-game unders when the market signals pitching control. Saturday’s game checks several boxes:
The full-game total sits at just 8 runs, a modest number that has shown downward pressure in the market.
The first five innings line is set at 4.5, with pricing staying in the sharp range without inflated juice.
Both starters have the capability to work efficiently early, and Citizens Bank Park is projected to have mild wind conditions that help suppress offense without dramatically skewing totals.
That combination points toward value on the F5 Under 4.5, banking on Luzardo and Alcantara to settle in and keep the scoring quiet through the early frames.
Pick: F5 Under 4.5 (-125)
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Charlie Wright's Dodgers vs Orioles Best Bet: Fade Them Both
Trevor Rogers continued his ridiculous season last time out with another 7-inning, 1-run outing against San Francisco. He allowed exactly 1 ER in all 6 of his August starts while going 7+ innings 5 times. Rogers now has an absurd 1.39 ERA across 14 starts. Obviously, that mark is unsustainable, but he has a sub-3.00 xERA to go with an xFIP and SIERA in the mid-3.00s. His re-breakout with Baltimore is looking more and more legit.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto had an uncharacteristic blip against the Angels of all teams in mid-August, but bounced back with 3 quality starts to close the month. Speaking of elite underlying numbers, his 2.75 xERA is actually lower than his actual ERA of 2.82. Yamamoto has an elite 3.09 xFIP and a 3.35 SIERA. He's been tremendous any way you look at it.
The Orioles rank 22nd in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ against righties over the past 30 days. The Dodgers haven't been much better, ranking 20th or worse in those metrics against lefties since the start of July.
We're set up for another low-scoring affair between these squads.
Pick: F5 Under 3.5 (-105)
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