Baseball fans and bettors are being treated to a full, 15-game slate on Tuesday, September 9. There are several intriguing matchups with playoff implications on today's schedule, and our betting systems and experts have already made their predictions for the day.
After looking over the latest MLB odds, the picks have been made. So, let's dive into today's MLB best bets.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:35 p.m. | |
  | 6:45 p.m. | |
  | 7:05 p.m. | |
  | 10:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sean Paul's Pirates vs Orioles Best Bet: Expect Orioles to Cruise
By Sean Paul
The Orioles are the best "bad" team in baseball. If it weren't for a rash of pitching and lineup injuries, they probably wouldn't have sold at the deadline and would have a real shot to battle for a Wild Card spot. Instead, a very talented team that sits in last place in their division has its sights set on causing havoc over the final three weeks of the year.
I'm more than happy to back Kyle Bradish here. I buy into his strong swing and miss stuff, and his ability to get grounders with his outstanding sinker.
I'll take Baltimore to -160 here. We just saw the Orioles do serious damage at Camden Yards against two World Series contenders. I can't see the Pirates giving them trouble here.
Pick: Orioles Moneyline (-160)
| | | |
Sean Zerillo's Mets vs Phillies Best Bet: Back New York Tonight
By Sean Zerillo
The Phillies put both Trea Turner and Alec Bohm on the Injured List on Monday, which will significantly downgrade their lineup against left-handed pitching.
Meanwhile, the Mets have been dominant lately against lefties, posting a 164 wRC+ (first in MLB) against lefties over the past 30 days. I also prefer the Mets bullpen in this matchup as Philadelphia's top three relievers have pitched on three of the past five days and may be unavailable tonight.
Sean Manaea has been unlucky (5.60 ERA, 4.24 xERA, 3.19 xFIP, 3.68 botERA) this season, but has a career-best K-BB% (25.3% vs. 16.1% career) and a .336 BABIP, which is 50 points above his career (.286) mark.
I projected the Mets at -109 and would bet them to +110.
Pick: Mets Moneyline (+110)
| | | |
Bet Labs' Tigers vs Yankees Best Bet: Under Showing Value
By Bet Labs
"Weather Watch Unders" is a system built for MLB totals bettors, who understand how environmental factors quietly shift run production. This approach keys in on games with moderate to strong winds — especially those blowing in or cross-field — paired with mild to cool temperatures, a known recipe for stifled fly balls and reduced scoring.
When totals open high, but tick down before first pitch, it signals sharp money reacting to these same weather cues. With home moneyline ranges excluding extreme mismatches, the model focuses on fairly priced contests where weather truly has a chance to swing scoring. This strategy captures overlooked market inefficiencies in totals that are inflated by prior offensive output rather than conditions on the field.
This system has cashed 55% of its lifetime picks and has generated a 6% ROI. However, this season, it has been on fire, going 74-50-3 (60%) with a 14% ROI.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-110)
| | | |
Bet Labs' Red Sox vs Athletics Best Bet: System Suggests Under
By Bet Labs
This system targets evening games in which public interest on the over is muted, recent home team scoring has run slightly hot, and subtle environmental signals align with lower-scoring outcomes. It also looks for games that start between 7:00 and 11:59 p.m. ET in which the market over percentage sits below 50%, suggesting minimal public pressure on inflated totals.
Meanwhile, the wind direction — whether blowing in, across the field, or neutral — paired with moderate temperatures between 26 and 74 degrees, introduce a natural resistance to run scoring. The home team is competitively priced on the moneyline and has a wide win rate window, providing no clear power imbalance that might inflate the total. When layered together, these filters isolate a soft edge in a game environment where bettors often overlook the under due to recency bias and lack of extreme public conviction.
Overall, this season is 1493-1139-142 (57%) and has generated a 10% ROI. This season, this system has generated a 9% ROI and has cashed 57% of its picks (55-41-2).
Pick: Under 10.5 (-114)
| | | |
