The Baltimore Orioles host the Pittsburgh Pirates on September 9, 2025. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
Find my MLB betting preview and Pirates vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Pirates vs Orioles Prediction
- Pirates vs Orioles picks: Orioles ML (play to -160)
My Pirates vs Orioles best bet is the Orioles moneyline (play to -160). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Orioles Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +135 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -160 |
Pirates vs Orioles Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Mike Burrows (PIT) | Stat | RHP Kyle Bradish (BAL) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 0-1 |
| 0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 4.08/4.33 | ERA /xERA | 3.60/2.37 |
| 4.29/4.00 | FIP / xFIP | 3.34/2.27 |
| 1.26 | WHIP | 1.00 |
| 2.8 | K-BB% | 7.5 |
| 40.8 | GB% | 33.3 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 100 | Location+ | 118 |
Sean Paul’s Pirates vs Orioles Preview
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview: To the Victor Goes the Spoils
The Orioles have enjoyed playing spoiler. They swept the Padres in Baltimore and took two out of three from the Dodgers. We'll see if there's any letdown from Baltimore playing lesser competition.
Kyle Bradish looked as if he was trending towards being a top-end of the rotation arm in Baltimore’s future. That’s until Tommy John surgery took him out for a year and a half, but he’s looked strong in two outings since returning.
In Bradish’s first outing back, he pitched six innings, allowing two runs and striking out ten batters versus the Red Sox. He wasn’t as crisp in his second outing, allowing two runs over four innings against the Padres.
Although it's been just two outings, there are a lot of positives to draw from Bradish. He's held opponents to a .201 xBA with a 2.37 xERA, while displaying elite strikeout stuff and a strong sense of the zone. He's punching out 39% of hitters and walking just 5%. That's a lasting formula if Bradish can sustain it.
Offensively, the Orioles have the 14th-best wRC+ in baseball over their last 19 games. They’ve struggled with striking out, ranking third with a 26.6% strikeout rate. On the other hand, they draw walks 9.6% of the time during that span.
It’s been a rough stretch for Gunnar Henderson, posting a .243 average and a 98 wRC+. I’m buying stock in Baltimore’s offense in the final couple of weeks. If Henderson starts to hit again, only good things will come for the Orioles' offense.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview: A Whole Bunch of K's
Mike Burrows will draw the start for Pittsburgh. He probably won’t pitch more than 50-60 pitches, as he threw fewer than 50 pitches in his last two outings. Both of which came out of the bullpen, but I doubt the Pirates want to push his pitch count after nearly a month of not surpassing the 57 pitch marker.
I wouldn't categorize Burrows as a high-level arm. He has a 4.08 ERA with a 4.33 xERA and a 4.29 FIP. Plus, Burrows has a 94 Stuff+ number with a four-seamer that hovers around 95 mph. To boot, he walks 3.20 batters per nine and allows 1.32 homers per nine.
The Pirates have one of the least powerful offenses in the league. Despite hitting only 14 homers over the past three weeks, they rank 19th with a 99 wRC+. The biggest factor in Pittsburgh's favor is its walk rate — which sits at 10.4% over that span. For what the Pirates lack in talent, they make up for with their plate approach that ensures pitches stay in the zone.
One issue that could arise against Bradish is the Pirates' strikeout issues. While they walk plenty, they also rank top five in strikeout percentage over the last three weeks. It could be hard to get to Bradish if he continues to generate swings & misses.
Pirates vs Orioles Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Orioles are the best "bad" team in baseball. If it weren't for a rash of pitching and lineup injuries, they probably wouldn't sell at the deadline and would have a real shot to battle for a Wild Card spot. Instead, a very talented team that sits in last place in their division has its sights set on causing havoc for the final three weeks of the year.
I'm more than happy to back Bradish here. I buy into his stuff and his strong swing and miss stuff, with the ability to get grounders with his outstanding sinker.
I'll take Baltimore to -160 here. We just saw them do serious damage at Camden Yards against two World Series contenders. I can't see the Pirates giving them trouble here.
Pick: Orioles Moneyline (play to -160)
