It's a light day with just 4 games on the schedule, but our MLB betting experts still found some value on the board and made their MLB picks and predictions.
After looking at today's MLB odds, they've made picks for 3 of the 4 games. So, let's dive right in and get to today's MLB best bets.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12:05 p.m. | |
  | 6:40 p.m. | |
  | 7:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Derek Carty's Athletics vs Nationals Pick: Back Lopez's Command
By Derek Carty
There is a value opportunity on Jacob Lopez's walks allowed prop. THE BAT projects him to allow 1.57 walks, while oddsmakers are implying 1.94. The model believes there is a 53% chance he records fewer than twp walks allowed, so there is value on the under at +155.
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Pick: Jacob Lopez Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (+155)
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Bet Labs' Reds vs Pirates Best Bet: System Suggests Under
By Bet Labs
When wind blows in between 5-35 mph, fly balls lose carry and home run rates drop significantly. This system targets unders in these conditions with totals between 6-11. It’s a sharp, weather-based angle that exploits environmental factors that are often underweighted in line-setting, but the heavily affect scoring outcomes.
Overall, this system is 1277-1080-113 (54%) and has generated a 4% ROI.
Pick: Under 7 (+100)
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Bet Labs' Marlins vs Braves Best Bet: Braves Showing Value
By Bet Labs
When the Marlins open a series against a team coming off a game in the Eastern or Central time zone, the market often underrates the visiting team due to the perception of minimal travel impact.
In reality, these teams enter the series with their routines intact and without the challenges of cross-country adjustments, allowing them to perform at expected or elevated levels. Because the Marlins are not typically priced as a top-tier opponent, this creates value in fading them in the series opener. This system capitalizes on that edge by betting against the Marlins in series openers when their opponent's previous game was played in the Eastern or Central time zone, turning overlooked market assumptions into a profitable opportunity.
Overall, this system is 498-351-0 (59%) and has generated a 9% ROI. This season, it has generated a 10% ROI and is 19-12 (61%).
Pick: Braves Moneyline (+100)
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