Marcus Stroman. Credit: John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
Wiseguys started their week off in style yesterday, cashing both of their Monday plays en route to a 2-0 day. The Marlins (+123) and Giants (-121) were classic examples of what sharp bettors look for: a low percentage of bets, a higher percentage of dollars, reverse line movement, multiple bet signals and profitable Bet Labs system matches.
No matter the sport, the wiseguy blueprint doesn’t change. Bet against the public, align yourself with the house and other professionals and make sure you’re on the right side of a historically profitable trend. Stay the course, think long term.
After analyzing Tuesday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed four MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:05 p.m., 7:10 p.m. and 7:35 p.m. ET.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager.
Data as of 2:45 p.m. ET. All bets risking one unit, not to win one unit. All plays Listed Pitcher, not Action.
Washington Nationals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-101)
7:05 p.m. ET
The Pirates beat the Nats 6-3 in the series opener last night. The public says Washington is a much better team than Pittsburgh and the Nats have to bounce back and win tonight. However, despite receiving 65% of bets, the Nats are getting only 53% of dollars, indicating mostly Average Joe money in their favor.
Meanwhile, even though nearly two-thirds of bets are on Bryce Harper and Co., the Nats have fallen from -110 to -107. Why would the books hand out a better number to public Nats backers when they’re already on Washington to begin with? Because sharps at BetOnline and the Greek got down hard on Pittsburgh +100 and +104, creating Buccos liability.