MLB Sharp Report: Pirates-Giants, Indians-Angels Drawing Pro Bettors Monday
Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Madison Bumgarner
- Sharp action has hit two MLB over/unders on Monday's eight-game slate.
- The Action Network's tools have revealed how pros are betting Pirates-Giants (9:45 p.m. ET) and Indians-Angels (10:07 p.m. ET).
It’s understandably easy to forget about baseball on Monday nights in the fall, as the return of Monday Night Football has kept tonight’s MLB ticket counts much lower than a typical mid-summer slate.
Still, sharps are going to get some money down when they find value, and tonight they’ve located two over/unders worth betting in Pirates vs. Giants and Indians vs. Angels.
All odds as of Monday at 2 p.m. ET from PointsBet.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants
9:45 p.m. ET | Trevor Williams (7-6, 5.16 ERA) vs. Madison Bumgarner (9-8, 3.81 ERA)
As is generally the case, the over has drawn far more bettors than the under in this matchup. Sixty-four percent of bets are expecting more than eight runs to be scored, but oddsmakers aren’t budging the number. In fact, they’ve juiced the under to -120, and there are even a few books that have dropped to 7.5.
Part of the reason for that has been that the 36% of under bettors have generated 65% of actual dollars.
But while that certainly creates a monetary liability, it also — perhaps more importantly — hints at how sharps are betting, since they’re the ones more likely to be making bigger bets.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals — which identify instances of sharp action based on market activity — have triggered three moves on the under, confirming that pros are banking on a low-scoring affair.
Sharp angle: Under 8 (moved from -110 to -120)
Cleveland Indians @ Los Angeles Angels
10:07 p.m. ET | Shane Bieber (13-7, 3.24 ERA) vs. Patrick Sandoval (0-2, 4.91 ERA)
This game has seen a similar pros-vs.-Joes disagreement on the total. Once again, the majority of bettors (76%) have taken a liking to the over, and once again, sportsbooks aren’t too concerned.
In this case, in fact, the entire market consensus has come down from its opening number of 9 to 8.5.
The 24% of bettors have accounted for 36% of actual money, which makes the line move even more significant, as there shouldn’t be any monetary reason for sportsbooks to adjust — they’re simply following the action of their more respected players.
Three more SI Bet Signals hit this under, though it’s worth noting that all came at the opening number. It’s yet to be made clear whether or not pros are finding value at 8.5.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 9 to 8.5)