MLB Saturday Forecast: Record-Breaking Weather Conditions in Store for Several Ballparks
Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- With more hot temperatures on the way, several ballparks may see their highest Weather Rating ever.
- Using The Action Network's betting tools, we look at which games are being impacted the most on today's slate, including Padres-Cubs (2:20 p.m. ET) and Blue Jays-Tigers (6:10 p.m.).
On Friday, the Padres and Cubs played ball in some obscene weather conditions at Wrigley Field, including a 93-degree temperature and 12-mph winds blowing out. But the oddsmakers got the last laugh, as the two teams combined for 11 runs, falling short of the 12/12.5 total.
I’m going to show you a perfect example of how strong weather conditions help hitters and over bettors:
On a 60-degree night with winds blowing in, or even no wind at all, that ball is a lazy fly to left. Per Baseball Savant, the expected batting average on a 93-mph batted ball with a launch angle that high is just .150. The Anthony Rizzo grand slam was also a sub-100 mph exit velocity dong.
Even so, the weather can’t help a team like the Padres if they’re going to leave 11 runners on base, as they managed just five runs despite 13 hits, three walks and two Cubs errors.
But have no fear: On Saturday, the thermometer is going to be cranked up a few notches at Wrigley with essentially identical wind conditions. And that’s one of just four places that could set Weather Rating records for their respective ballparks.
Highest Weather Ratings
- Padres-Cubs: 91 (Wrigley record is 90, which was tied yesterday)
- Blue Jays-Tigers: 89 (Comerica record is 88)