The New York Mets host the Washington Nationals on April 28, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -185 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +151 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Nationals vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
- Nationals vs Mets Pick: Luis Garcia Under 0.5 Hits
Our Nationals vs Mets best bet is for Luis Garcia to stay under his hits prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Mets Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -136 | 8 -101o / -119u | +153 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +113 | 8 -101o / -119u | -186 |
- Nationals vs Mets moneyline: Nationals +151, Mets -185
- Nationals vs Mets over/under: 8 (-112o / -110u)
- Nationals vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+116 ), Nationals +1.5 (-141)
Nationals vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Zack Littell (RHP) | Stat | Clay Holmes (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | W-L | 2-2 |
| -0.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 7.56/7.99 | ERA / xERA | 2.10/4.22 |
| 8.61/5.31 | FIP / xFIP | 4.26/4.16 |
| 6.0 | K-BB% | 7.5 |
| 37.2 | GB% | 56.7 |
| 2.77 | BABIP | .207 |
| 84 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 99 | Location+ | 104 |
Nationals vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Washington Nationals infielder Luis Garcia for just 0.74 hits in his matchup against the New York Mets tonight, giving us a solid 11.4% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 0.5 hits.
Garcia is hitting .253 with 23 hits in 91 at-bats this season, including a modest .259 average in April. While he’s shown occasional multi-hit games, like a 4-for-5 explosion against the Braves earlier this month, his hit rate has been inconsistent, and he’s gone hitless in several recent outings.
Tonight, Garcia faces Mets starter Clay Holmes, who has looked sharp in his transition to the rotation with a strong ERA and the ability to limit hard contact. The Mets’ defense and pitching staff have done a good job suppressing hits from contact-oriented middle infielders like Garcia, especially in Citi Field.
Garcia’s batted-ball profile and early-season trends suggest limited extra-base power and contact upside against a pitcher like Holmes, with projections keeping his expected hits well below the 0.5 threshold in a tough road spot.
Pick: Luis Garcia Under 0.5 Hits
