NLDS Expert Picks: Cardinals-Braves & Nats-Dodgers Betting Predictions for Game 5

Oct 09, 2019 04:02 PM EDT
Credit:

Richard Mackson, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Stephen Strasburg

  • See how our experts are playing the betting odds for Wednesday's series-deciding Game 5s of the NLDS: Cardinals vs. Braves and Nationals vs. Dodgers.
  • Below, they examine their favorite over/under, moneyline and first-five-inning picks for tonight.

The MLB Postseason has reached a fever pitch.

Both National League Divisional Series will be settled on Wednesday, with a pair of Game 5s for bettors and fans to enjoy.

The Cardinals and Braves will kick off the slate at 5:02 p.m. ET. Mike Foltynewicz was dialed in for his start in Game 2, but he’ll be up against it against the red-hot Jack Flaherty.

The market makes this game close to a coin flip, but the Braves are the more popular side, attracting close 70% of the bets.

There’s been some big bettors backing the Dodgers, who are a very popular favorite against the Nationals in Game 5. Los Angeles will start young ace Walker Buehler against Stephen Strasburg, but Dave Roberts will also have Clayton Kershaw at his disposal.

According to our data, 71% of the tickets are on Los Angeles.

As for the totals, the Under is the more popular play in each game. Sixty-six percent of the bets are on Under 7.5 in Atlanta and 56% of the tickets are on Under 7 runs in the nightcap.

Here are our staff’s favorite betting strategies for today’s do-or-die games:

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves

Probable starters: Probable starters: Jack Flaherty (11-8, 2.75 ERA) vs. Mike Foltynewicz (8-6, 4.54 ERA)

  • Cardinals odds: -112
  • Braves odds: -103
  • Over/Under: 7.5
  • First pitch: 5:02 p.m. ET
  • TV: TBS

Odds as of Wednesday at 1 p.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


Danny Donahue

Popular sides have been good to their backers this postseason. Teams getting more than 50% of bets have gone 11-5 for a 2.2-unit profit (because they’re mostly favorites) and a 13.5% ROI. That’s not been the case in the long term, though.

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