Orioles vs. Twins MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Expect Gray, Minnesota to Cruise to Win (Saturday, July 2)
Abbie Parr/Getty Images. Pictured: Byron Buxton
Orioles vs. Twins Odds
|Time||2:10 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
After taking game one of the series on Friday evening, the Minnesota Twins will go for the series win over the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday afternoon. The Twins are also trying to put some distance between themselves and the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central.
Jordan Lyles takes the hill for the Orioles as they try to pull even in the three-game set. Sonny Gray will look to continue his solid season and help guide the Twins to a series victory.
The Twins are 6-4 over their past 10 games and have been surging since re-taking the AL Central lead, which was held briefly by the Guardians. However, the Orioles are much more competitive than they have been in recent years. This is not an automatic win for the Twins.
Baltimore Orioles: Offense Performing Well
The Baltimore Orioles’ offense has probably been one of the more underrated elements of their journey back to respectability. It’s a lineup full of young talent and veterans who are also contributing.
Over the past three weeks, the Orioles’ offense has posted a 107 team wRC+ on the road against right-handed pitchers.
However, Jordan Lyles is on the mound and he’s really struggled on the road this season. In 48 2/3 road innings, Lyles has a 6.47 ERA and a 5.66 FIP. It’s been a tough for Lyles away from Camden Yards and he’s taking on a very tough offense.
If Lyles is to run into trouble, the Orioles bullpen has been excellent over the past three weeks. They have the 4th-best FIP over that stretch, but they are only in the middle third in terms of ERA.
Minnesota Twins: Will Gray Spin Another Home Gem?
After losing possession of first place at the end of June, the Twins have stormed back to seize the lead once again. Their high powered offense is finally starting to gel and they have been mashing lately.
Over the past few weeks, the Twins have the third highest team wRC+ against right handers at home and are getting a very favorable match up in Jordan Lyles.
Sonny Gray is on the mound for Minnesota and he’s very quietly been excellent since returning from injury. He’s posted a 1.69 ERA and a 2.88 FIP over his past three starts and that only supplements his excellent home numbers this season.
The Twins bullpen has been a bit of a mess at times lately. However, a little less Emilio Pagan and a little more Jhoan Duran may help resolve that issue.
While the Orioles are no longer a team to auto-fade, the numbers in this particular match up seem to favor the Twins heavily. Heading into the second half of the season, this is where the good teams kick it into high gear and the Orioles are just not good yet.
The Twins’ moneyline is at -225, so forget that noise and take the runline at -110. The Twins’s offense has been excellent lately and Sonny Gray really seems to be finding his place in the Twins’ rotation. Play to -130 or better.
Pick: Twins RL -110