Orioles vs Yankees Prediction Today | MLB Odds, Expert Picks for Tuesday, May 23
Via Kirk Irwin/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees jogs to first base during the game against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on May 20, 2023 in Cincinnati, Ohio. New York defeated Cincinnati 7-4 in ten innings.
- The Yankees are short home favorites on Tuesday night against the Orioles in the Bronx.
- The Orioles have been playing steady baseball as they sit three games ahead of the Yankees in the AL East, but they have struggled historically against Gerrit Cole.
- Doug Ziefel breaks down the matchup and shares his top MLB betting pick for Orioles vs. Yankees below.
Orioles vs. Yankees Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+138 | 7.5 -118/ -104 | +1.5 -150 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| -164 | 7.5 -118/ -104 | -1.5 +125 |
The New York Yankees return home to the Bronx, and they are red hot. The Yankees begin this series having won eight of their last 10 games as they have been carried by Aaron Judge.
Tonight, the Yankees will pair both of their stars as Gerrit Cole takes the mound. Cole has been dominant through his first 10 starts of the year, but he must be sharp against this Baltimore lineup.
Kyle Bradish will oppose Cole for the Orioles. Bradish has been tremendous recently, but can he stay hot against the Bronx Bombers?
Let's take a closer look to find out as we uncover the best bet from this Orioles vs. Yankees matchup along the way.
Baltimore Orioles
While I highlighted the Yankees' recent hot stretch, the Orioles have made it tough for them to gain ground. Baltimore is 7-3 over their last 10 and still holds a three-game lead in the standings over the Yankees.
Baltimore's hot start has been spurred by its lineup. The Orioles enter this matchup ranking seventh in wRC+ and ninth in wOBA.
The Orioles have had trouble against Cole in the past, however, and given how sharp he's been this season, their outlook is bleak. The current Orioles lineup has accumulated 112 at-bats against Gerrit Cole, and Cole has gotten the best of them.
In those at-bats, they have a 22% Strikeout Rate, an xBA of .254 and an xwOBA of .291. Despite Baltimore's hot start at the plate, Gerrit Cole has been even hotter, and he should remain locked in for this outing.
New York Yankees
The Yankees' start to the season was shocking, but once Aaron Judge returned to the lineup, everything began to turn around. New York's recent stretch has catapulted the team to nine games over .500, and the Yankees are in line to keep rolling tonight.
Before we dive into the matchup, let's highlight what Judge is doing this month. In May, Judge has hit .378 with seven homers and has an OPS of 1.042.
He and the rest of the Yankees will face Bradish, who has been excellent for the Orioles but has also been very fortunate.
Bradish enters his eighth start of the season ranking in the bottom 15% of all qualified in Average Exit Velocity allowed and Hard-hit Rate. That amount of hard contact is ominous, especially against this Yankees lineup in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.
Bradish has a 4.16 xERA and a 4.21 FIP, while the Yankees lineup is due for positive regression in every category. All the numbers favor the Yanks bats doing damage tonight.
Orioles vs. Yankees Betting Pick
The Baltimore Orioles have proven to be the real deal this season, but even the best teams can be overmatched at times. This game will be one of those occasions.
Gerrit Cole has been dialed in, and the Orioles have not hit him well historically. On the other side, the Yankees' order has come to life on the back of Aaron Judge, and they should park a few in the seats against Kyle Bradish.
Back the Yankees to be up halfway through this one on the first five inning spread at -0.5 (-125).
Pick: Yankees F5 -0.5 (-125)
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