The Chicago Cubs host the Pittsburgh Pirates on June 15, 2025. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MARQ.
Find my MLB betting preview and Pirates vs Cubs prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
My Pirates vs Cubs Prediction
- Pirates vs Cubs picks: Under 7.5
My Pirates vs Cubs best bet is Under 7.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Cubs Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +140 |
| Cubs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -170 |
Pirates vs Cubs Projected Starting Pitchers
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | Stat | Colin Rea (CHC) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | W-L | 4-2 |
| 1.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 4.15/3.86 | ERA /xERA | 3.92/4.95 |
| 3.32/3.86 | FIP / xFIP | 4.33/4.20 |
| 1.28 | WHIP | 1.37 |
| 12.9 | K-BB% | 11.8 |
| 46.4 | GB% | 39 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 102 | Location+ | 100 |
Pirates vs Cubs Prediction, Betting Analysis
Evan Abrams' "Unders with Soft Starters and Neutral Winds" targets the total for this afternoon's matchup by highlighting the weather and the starting pitchers.
This MLB betting system focuses on regular-season unders when soft-contact home starters—typically low strikeout arms with average WHIP—take the mound in Game 3 or Game 4 of a series. By the later stages of a series, hitters are more familiar with opposing pitching, yet games often stay low-scoring when neither team faces high-velocity threats.
This strategy filters out games with strong wind influence to avoid inflated scoring environments, zeroing in on neutral-weather matchups that keep run totals in check. When the home team is grinding through the midseason and winning at a modest rate, the market may overlook how often these quieter settings produce slower tempos and consistent under results.
This system has a 15% ROI all-time and has been crushing this season, going 22-5-2 with a 53% ROI.
Pick: Under 7.5
Moneyline
There is no play on the total.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no value on the run line.
Over/Under
Take the under 7.5.
