The Washington Nationals host the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 5, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on Peacock.
The Nationals are favored by -136 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +113 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Pirates vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Nationals Prediction
- Pirates vs Nationals Pick: Bubba Chandler Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-108)
Our Pirates vs Nationals best bet is on Bubba Chandler to record four or fewer strikeouts this afternoon. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Nationals Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -171 | 9.5 -108o / -112u | +113 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +141 | 9.5 -108o / -112u | -136 |
- Pirates vs Nationals moneyline: Pirates +113, Nationals -136
- Pirates vs Nationals over/under: 9.5 (-108o / -112u)
- Pirates vs Nationals spread: Pirates +1.5 (-171), Nationals -1.5 (+141)
Pirates vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
| Bubba Chandler (RHP, PIT) | Stat | Cade Cavalli (RHP, WAS) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | W-L | 5-4 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.1 |
| 4.62 / 4.16 | ERA / xERA | 3.69 / 4.13 |
| 4.49 / 5.02 | FIP / xFIP | 3.22 / 3.61 |
| 8.2 | K-BB% | 18.4 |
| 36.0 | GB% | 47.2 |
| .261 | BABIP | .340 |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 102 | Location+ | 96 |
Pirates vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
Action PRO projects Pirates starter Bubba Chandler for 4.01 strikeouts in today's matchup against the Nationals, giving us a solid 10.8% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is good enough to mark the under with a B grade in our system.
He has 79 Ks in 85 and 2/3 innings this season, and is coming off a rough outing against the Phillies, in which he allowed seven hits and five earned runs.
Chandler will face a Washington lineup that does not strike out much against pitchers like him, ranking eighth in the majors in lower K percentage vs. RHP with 21.0%.
He has gone under this 4.5 line in three of his past six outings, with totals of 3, 1 and 6 strikeouts in those contests.
Let's fade him this afternoon on his Ks line against the Nats.
Pick: Bubba Chandler Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-108, DraftKings)
