The Toronto Blue Jays host the Texas Rangers on June 25, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNET.
The Blue Jays are favored by -153 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rangers are +125 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Rangers vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Rangers vs Blue Jays Pick: Rangers +129, 1u (Bet to +115)
My Rangers vs Blue Jays best bet is the Texas moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +140 | 8 -100o / -120u | +125 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -170 | 8 -100o / -120u | -153 |
- Rangers vs Blue Jays moneyline: Rangers +125, Blue Jays -153
- Rangers vs Blue Jays over/under: 8 (-100o / -120u)
- Rangers vs Blue Jays spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+140 ), Rangers +1.5 (-170)
Rangers vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| LHP MacKenzie Gore (TEX) | Stat | RHP Kevin Gausman (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | W-L | 4-5 |
| 1.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.0 |
| 4.07/4.08 | ERA / xERA | 4.04/3.48 |
| 3.5474.03 | FIP / xFIP | 3.4273.63 |
| 15.3% | K-BB% | 18.9% |
| 35.8% | GB% | 38.3% |
| .291 | BABIP | .286 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 101 | Location+ | 107 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview, Pick
It took me a minute to figure out why this game popped. Then I realized three things.
First and most glaringly, the Blue Jays have been surprisingly awful against LHP (83 wRC+).
At first, I considered this was the result of injuries, and they’re about as healthy as they’ve been all season now, but no, the projected lineup still has a 95 wRC+ against LHP this season.
I don’t think Alejandro Kirk is going to sustain a negative wRC+ with the platoon advantage, and Davis Schneider’s drop to 80 is quite surprising, but George Springer (138 wRC+) and Vlad Jr. (141) are the only Jays smoking LHP this year, and the latter has slumped to a 77 wRC+ over the last 30 days.
The Rangers, once you get them away from Globe Life Field, are quite ordinary (104 wRC+ on the road, 100 vs RHP).
I know they’re without Corey Seager and Evan Carter, but the projected/standard lineup against RHP still has a 105 wRC+ against RHP this season and 113 wRC+ over the last month.
The second thing was that Kevin Gausman hasn’t been as good as I’d thought this year.
I’m not talking about the 4.04 ERA, but even with an 18.9 K-BB%, his best since 2023, the 3.41 Bot ERA/104 Pitching+ to 3.73 dERA estimator range is more good than great. I have him just one-third of a run ahead of MacKenzie Gore, whose non-FIP estimator range (4.02 SIERA – 4.25 Bot ERA/99 Pitching+) befits his 4.07 ERA.
Finally, the defense.
That great Toronto defense? It’s merely middle of the league this year (-2 Runs Prevented, -1 OAA).
Again, maybe that’s injuries, but Schneider (-4 FRV), Kazuma Okamoto (-2), and Ernie Clement (-2) have been bad.
Both teams project -1 FRV on Thursday, though the Texas team defense is much higher up the chain (+10 Runs Prevented, +12 OAA).
The Blue Jays do have the superior bullpen. BARTOLO ranks them best in the league with a 3.25 wFIP against Texas’s 4.06 (18th), but over the last 30 days, the Toronto bullpen has 4.50 FIP, 4.44 xFIP, and 4.32 SIERA compared to the Rangers’ 4.64 FIP, 4.23 xFIP, and 3.76 SIERA.
All this to say that I barely have Toronto favored in this matchup.
Picks: Rangers +129, 1u (Bet to +115)
