Wednesday MLB Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions for Rockies vs. Giants: San Francisco Bats Should Cool Chad Kuhl
Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images. Pictured: Brandon Belt.
- The Giants are favored in the series finale on Wednesday against the Rockies.
- The red-hot Chad Kuhl will start for Colorado opposite Alex Cobb.
- Jules Posner breaks down the matchup and makes his best bet for the game below.
Rockies vs. Giants Odds
|Time||3:45 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
The Colorado Rockies and the San Francisco Giants face off in the finale of their three-game series on Wednesday afternoon.
This game also features a showdown between two sort of journeyman starters in Chad Kuhl and Alex Cobb who seem to have found new life with their new teams. Both starters have been pitching well this season, but their teams seem to be heading in different directions.
The Giants look to thrust themselves back into the NL West conversation as the Rockies look to tread above the .500 mark.
Colorado Bullpen Can’t Be Trusted
The Colorado Rockies have been slowly sinking towards the sub .500 mark, but maybe they still have some early season magic?
Speaking of magic, what’s Kuhl’s deal?
Kuhl has been excellent so far this season posting a 1.82 ERA, but his 3.38 FIP indicates he could be due for regression. Even if he does regress, he’s still been pretty solid.
Unfortunately, the Rockies bullpen is too high-risk of a unit to support if this game gets close. Over the past two weeks the Rockies ‘pen has the highest ERA and fourth-highest FIP in MLB.
Frankly, Colorado’s slide was probably inevitable, but the loss of Kris Bryant corresponds too perfectly with this recent skid.
If Kuhl can work deep into this game and keep the Rockies’ relief corps out of the picture, that’s their only chance.
Giants Bats Are Getting Hot
The San Francisco Giants seem to be evening out again after a five-game losing streak. Specifically, their offense has gotten healthy. This has allowed them to mix and match their way into the NL West race.
Over the past two weeks, the Giants are second in MLB in runs scored at home, but their team wRC+ at home is 113, which is 14th in MLB.
Obviously, San Francisco is capitalizing on run scoring opportunities, but with the returns of Mike Yastrzemski and Brandon Belt, the Giants platoon advantage against RHP might start to take off.
Cobb takes the mound for the Giants and with all the hype around his velocity gains in the offseason, his traditional numbers don’t look very impressive.
However, his peripherals tell a different story. Cobb has a 2.21 FIP and a 2.05 xFIP this season, showing he has had some bad luck so far this season. These are the numbers to keep in mind if you’re betting this game.
Cobb should be due for some positive regression, especially against a Rockies offense that has been plummeting in road production.
The real Giants may have just re-entered the NL West chat, while the Rockies seem to be on their way out. Considering San Francisco’s recent run of offense and the entirety of their pitching staff, the runline seems to have the best value in this game.
It seems the Rockies might be a little overvalued because of Kuhl, so if you can snag the Giants runline while it’s in plus money, go for it. Otherwise play it to the -110 threshold.
Pick: Giants -1.5 (play to -110)