The Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago White Sox on July 5, 2026. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 2:00 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Peacock.
The Guardians are favored by -148 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are +124 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and White Sox vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction
- White Sox vs Guardians Pick: Erick Fedde Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-175, betMGM)
My White Sox vs Guardians best bet is a Fedde prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
White Sox vs Guardians Odds
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +135 | 8.5 -109o / -110u | +124 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -164 | 8.5 -109o / -110u | -148 |
- White Sox vs Guardians moneyline: White Sox +124, Guardians -148
- White Sox vs Guardians over/under: 8.5 (-109o / -110u)
- White Sox vs Guardians spread: Guardians -1.5 (+135 ), White Sox +1.5 (-164)
White Sox vs Guardians Probable Pitchers
| Chris Murphy | Stat | Tanner Bibee |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 2-9 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 3.79 / 3.23 | ERA / xERA | 3.69 / 4.52 |
| 3.63 / 5.11 | FIP / xFIP | 4.55 / 4.16 |
| 9.8 | K-BB% | 13.1 |
| 32.7 | GB% | 38.9 |
| .288 | BABIP | .243 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 105 |
| 89 | Location+ | 101 |
White Sox vs Guardians MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects White Sox starter Erick Fedde for 2.65 strikeouts in tonight's matchup against the Guardians, giving us a solid 8.9% edge against the market compared to his current prop line of over/under 3.5, which is enough to tag the Under with a B grade in our system.
White Sox vs Guardians Pick, Betting Analysis
Fedde has recorded 53 strikeouts so far this season, but this number looks a bit too high given his recent form. He has stayed under 3.5 strikeouts in seven of his last 10 starts, showing that he's not consistently piling up punchouts even when working deep enough into games.
While Fedde has generally done a good job of keeping his team competitive, he's more of a pitch-to-contact arm than a true strikeout pitcher. Against a Guardians lineup that typically puts the ball in play, it's difficult to project him for enough swing-and-miss to clear this number.
Pick: Erick Fedde Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-175, betMGM)
