The Toronto Blue Jays (56-41) host the San Francisco Giants (52-46) on Saturday, July 19, 2025. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 3:07 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Sportsnet and NBC Sports Bay Area.
The Blue Jays notched an easy win in game one of their series against the Giants. Can Toronto snag the series win in game two of this interleague duel? The Giants enter as -125 road favorites with an 8.5 run total.
Find my Giants vs Blue Jays prediction and pick for Saturday below.
- Giants vs Blue Jays picks: Under 8.5 (play to 7.5)
My Giants vs Blue Jays best bet is the game total to stay under 8.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Giants vs Blue Jays Odds, Lines
San Francisco Giants Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +136 | 8 -102o / -119u | -124 |
Toronto Blue Jays Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -167 | 8 -102o / -119u | +102 |
Giants vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
RHP Logan Webb (SF) | Stat | LHP Eric Lauer (TOR) |
---|---|---|
9-6 | W-L | 4-2 |
3.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
2.94/3.40 | ERA /xERA | 2.78/3.16 |
2.52/2.58 | FIP / xFIP | 3.37/3.93 |
1.17 | WHIP | 1.043.6 |
5.0 | K-BB% | 19.1 |
51.8% | GB% | 31.5% |
105 | Stuff+ | 93 |
110 | Location+ | 101 |
Giants vs Blue Jays Preview
While it went largely unnoticed in the Winter, the Blue Jays found an absolute gem in southpaw Eric Lauer. The Blue Jays have received very reliable pitching from Lauer, who owns a 2.78 ERA with a 3.16 xERA and 3.36 FIP in 55 innings.
Recently, Lauer hasn't given the Blue Jays an adequate amount of innings, pitching 5 1/3 or fewer innings in four of his last five starts. The Jays played it safe with Lauer in his first few starts since he began the year in a long-relief role, but he's thrown 85+ pitches in multiple outings. It's time to let Lauer loose.
The Blue Jays' offense operates in an old-school fashion. They don't hit for overwhelming power and have a strikeout rate sitting at 18.9% in July. The low strikeout rate isn't something new in July; it's worse than their 17.7% strikeout rate for the year.
In July, Toronto ranks sixth in MLB with a 123 wRC+. The Blue Jays have received huge production from Addison Barger, Nathan Lukes, Bo Bichette, and George Springer, who each have a wRC+ better than 165 in their past 12 games.
I'd expect some regression to them being a top-10 offense if Vladimir Guerrero Jr and Alejandro Kirk can't start hitting again. I'm sure they will, but I have less faith in Toronto being a top-10 offense if that pair can't start hitting.
Logan Webb has been a legitimate Cy Young contender for years, but he’s the absolute best version of himself in 2025. Webb flashes a strong 2.94 ERA with a 3.40 xERA and 2.52 FIP.
Everyone knows Webb is an elite ground-ball pitcher, which remains the case, as evidenced by his 53% ground-ball rate. You can't call Webb just a ground-baller anymore, as he ranks in the 80th percentile in strikeout rate, punching out a career high 9.95 batters per nine.
In Webb's last outing, the Dodgers touched him up for six earned runs in five innings, marking his worst outing this year. The good thing is Webb isn't facing the dangerous Dodgers again.
The bad thing is Webb still has pretty strong splits favoring his performance in the hitter-friendly Oracle Park. Webb started 10 games at home and away, with a 2.23 home ERA and 3.69 away ERA. It's a bit strange, though, Webb has a .250 BAA in both splits, but surrendered six more walks on the road in 3 2/3 fewer innings. I'm not buying Webb approaching a four ERA on the road. He's far better than that.
After the Giants made the stunning move for Rafael Devers, most assumed they would get an instant boost offensively. The issue is that Devers isn't hitting. Since arriving in the Bay Area, Devers is hitting .217 with a .687 OPS and two homers.
He's just an anchor dragging down the Giants' offense, and it's only gotten worse in July. The Giants rank 22nd with an 85 wRC+ this month and looked totally overmatched by Chris Bassitt in the series opener.
Three of the top four hitters in the Giants' order — Devers, Heliot Ramos and Matt Chapman are hitting .205 or worse in July. Pair that with Lauer on the hill, likely meaning the Giants will sit Mike Yastrzemski, who's been one of their few good hitters of late.
Giants vs Blue Jays Prediction, Betting Analysis
I don't see many runs coming in this contest. Webb is an absolute stud and Lauer is more than good enough to contain a very uninspiring Giants lineup.
Go with the under. I can't see more than eight runs coming here.
Pick: Under 8.5 (play to 7.5)
Moneyline
I have no play on either side of the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I have no play for the run line.
Over/Under
My bet for this game is under 8.5