The Los Angeles Angels host the Seattle Mariners on April 3, 2026. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SEAM.
The Mariners are favored by -169 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Angels are +139 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mariners vs Angels prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mariners vs Angels Prediction
- Mariners vs Angels Pick: Under 8 (-115)
My Mariners vs Angels best bet is Under 8 total runs tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mariners vs Angels Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +104 | 8 -105o / -115u | -169 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -126 | 8 -105o / -115u | +139 |
- Mariners vs Angels spread: Mariners -1.5 (+104), Angels +1.5 (-126)
- Mariners vs Angels over/under: 8 (-105o / -115u)
- Mariners vs Angels moneyline: Mariners -169, Angels +139
Mariners vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Bryan Woo (SEA) | Stat | LHP Reid Detmers (LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | W-L | 0-0 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 3.00 / 1.91 | ERA / xERA | 5.79 / 1.85 |
| 0.65 / 2.61 | FIP / xFIP | -0.07 / 1.19 |
| 0.83 | WHIP | 1.29 |
| 34.8 | K-BB% | 42.9 |
| 7.7 | GB% | 18.2 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 111 |
| 114 | Location+ | 124 |
Mariners vs Angels Preview
This definitely stood out as an under spot to me.
We already know the Mariners starter, Bryan Woo, is great, but primarily, the improvements we've seen from Reid Detmers are a promising sign.
If he can get this game into the later innings, with a relatively low score, then hopefully the Angels' bullpen does not end up pushing this one over because it is one of the worst bullpens in baseball.
The improvement from Detmers largely mimics what we saw from Kris Bubic, where Bubic was an average to below-average starter, went to the bullpen and ended up finding himself.
In Detmer's career as a starter, before he moved to the bullpen, his strikeout minus walk rate at 16%-18%. So already pretty good, but the expected indicators were still in the fours. It wasn't matching what the strikeout minus walk rate was saying.
Detmers went to the bullpen last year, and his K minus walk percentage moved up to 21%. Expected indicators fell to a 3.60 expected ERA and 3.1 expected FIP. So, exactly the improvements you want to see, and they put him back in the rotation this year.
He struck out nine batters in his first start this season, in 4 and 2/3 innings against the Astros, without walking a single batter.
I think this indicates the direction Detmers is going, and he can be that effective.
Action PRO projects him for 8.2 strikeouts tonight.
There are other projections for him. OOPSY is at 3.74 FIP; ZiPS is at 3.60. BatX is still at 4.04, but you know, after more starts, I'm curious to see if his numbers keep lowering.
Mariners vs Angels Picks
So I already think Detmers is above average arm. I make his weighted FIP around 3.60. There are other indicators, even besides the ones that you have on Fangraphs, that can point in that direction.
Not only does Detmers look better, and the metrics have improved under the hood, but the pitch modeling metrics are also saying this guy has made strides.
I bet Under 8 total runs, and if you could also find 7.5 down to even money is fine, between the Mariners and the Angels out in Los Angeles tonight.
And again, hopefully the Angels' bullpen does not give up some cheap runs late.
Pick: Under 8 (-115, DraftKings)
