2022 MLB Playoffs Expert Picks, Odds for Yankees vs Guardians Game 4
Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: The winning run is scored on Saturday night.
- The Yankees and Guardians meet on Sunday night in Game 4 of the ALDS in Cleveland.
- The Guardians are one win from the ALCS and will turn to Cal Quantrill. New York hopes to keep its season alive behind Gerrit Cole.
- Continue reading for a full breakdown of our staff's best bets from ALDS Game 4.
Yankees vs. Guardians Game 4 Odds
|Time||7:07 p.m. ET|
It will be a tall task going against Gerrit Cole. Cleveland will counter with Cal Quantrill in a rematch from Game 1 where a steady Cole led the Yankees to a 1-0 series lead.
Our staff has two bets on this game, including picking a side as well as a player prop. Here are our best bets for Game 4 of the ALDS between the Yankees and Guardians.
MLB Odds & Picks
Odds via FanDuel
Jules Posner: Cal Quantrill has been an unsung hero for the Cleveland Guardians' rotation this year in some respects. His stuff doesn't light up the radar gun, he doesn't rack up Ks, but he has been a steady presence in the middle of the rotation for the Guards all year. Now he has his opportunity to put his fingerprints on the ALDS.
Gerrit Cole has been volatile on the road this season and he'll be taking on a Guardians offense that has been very tough on RHP down the stretch. Additionally, facing Cole for the second time following an emotional come-from-behind victory, the Guardians have seized control of this series.
The Yankees' bullpen has been a huge letdown in this series while the Guardians have remained relatively steady against one of the best offenses in the game. Additionally, the Yankees did not end the season particularly strong on the road against RHP.
While Cole has an obvious edge over Cal Quantrill, the difference between the two in terms of their peripherals is not as vast as it would seem, and Cleveland has an obvious edge once the bullpens enter the game.
I like the Guardians on the moneyline to finish the job behind Quantrill and that excellent bullpen.
Jose Ramirez Over 1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Odds via BetRivers
Nicholas Martin: Gerrit Cole will pitch with the weight of the world on his shoulders Sunday in this do-or-die spot, and while it would be far from surprising to see a strong outing, it also seems very easy to imagine Cole gets crushed here.
In particular, Jose Ramirez could be well situated to find some offensive success in this spot, considering how effective he has been against Cole historically.
Ramirez has gone 7-for-24 versus Cole. All seven hits have gone for extra-bases, including two home-runs and an .OPS of 1.108.
In 507 at-bats versus right-handed pitching this season, Ramirez put up a .550 slug-rate, and his strikeout rate of just 12.5% since the start of last season to righties is the fourth-best in MLB among qualified batters.
So while Cole is obviously an elite pitcher, I still believe +170 for Ramirez to get over 1.5 bases in this game is a great price, considering Ramirez's overall splits against righties and his strong form in this matchup historically.