Formula 1 Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix Odds, Starting Grid: Lewis Hamilton Favored Over Max Verstappen

Formula 1 Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix Odds, Starting Grid: Lewis Hamilton Favored Over Max Verstappen article feature image

Clive Mason – Formula 1/Formula 1 via Getty Images. Pictured: Max Verstappen of the Netherlands driving the (33) Red Bull Racing RB16B Honda on track during the F1 Grand Prix of Bahrain.

  • Mercedes' Lewis Hamilton is the betting favorite for Sunday's Formula 1 Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix, with Red Bull's Max Verstappen the second betting choice.
  • Hamilton took the pole in qualifying on Saturday with the two Red Bull cars slotting in behind him.

Odds to Win 2021 Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix

Lewis Hamilton11047.62%
Max Verstappen18035.71%
Sergio Perez55015.38%
Valtteri Bottas30003.23%
Lando Norris33002.94%
Charles Leclerc40002.44%
Pierre Gasly60001.64%
Daniel Ricciardo70001.4%
Carlos Sainz Jr150000.6%
Lance Stroll500000.2%
Yuki Tsunoda500000.2%
Fernando Alonso500000.2%
Sebastian Vettel500000.2%
George Russell500000.2%
Nicholas Latifi500000.2%
Kimi Raikkonen500000.2%
Antonio Giovinazzi500000.2%
Mick Schumacher500000.2%
Nikita Mazepin500000.2%

After a 20-day break, Formula 1 is back for its second race of the season with the Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix on Sunday at 9 a.m. ET.

F1 added this event to the schedule last season to make up for lost races during the COVID-19 pandemic. It was the first race at Imola since 2006, so we don't have a ton of recent data.

Mercedes' Lewis Hamilton is now the favorite at +110 at PointsBet. He won the pole on Saturday, which caused him to move from +140 to +110. Red Bull's Sergio Perez qualified second and dropped from 18-1 to +550. His teammate, Max Verstappen, is still the second betting choice at +180.

So the Red Bulls will start No. 2 and No. 3. Merc's Valtteri Bottas will start eighth.

Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix Starting Grid

1Lewis HamiltonMERCEDES
2Sergio PerezRED BULL
3Max VerstappenRED BULL
4Charles LeclercFERRARI
6Daniel RicciardoMCLAREN
7Lando NorrisMCLAREN
8Valtteri BottasMERCEDES
10Lance StrollASTON MARTIN
11Carlos SainzFERRARI
12George RussellWILLIAMS
13Sebastian VettelASTON MARTIN
14Nicholas LatifiWILLIAMS
15Fernando AlonsoALPINE RENAULT
16Kimi RäikkönenALFA ROMEO
17Antonio GiovinazziALFA ROMEO
18Mick SchumacherHAAS
19Nikita MazepinHAAS

Last season at Imola, Bottas took the pole from Hamilton by 0.097 seconds, and both were more than one-half second better than Verstappen. Hamilton ended up winning the race with Bottas second and Daniel Ricciardo third (then with Renault). Verstappen was poised for a second-place finish before an "instantaneous puncture" knocked him out late in the race.

So far this year, Red Bull has had the fastest car in Formula 1, despite Hamilton's strategically superior win in the season opener at Bahrain. Verstappen went off in that race at -175 (54.02% probability to win) with Hamilton at +190 (29.27%), so it's a big move from the opener.

Mercedes had the two fastest cars in Friday's FP2 at Imola with Gasly just 0.078 seconds behind Bottas. Verstappen had an issue early in the session and ended up with the 14th-fastest car. Red Bull's Perez was sixth, with both Ferraris and Gasly ahead of him.

Rain is likely for race day, so could we get another midfield car hitting the podium like Ricciardo last season? McLaren will surely be a favorite amongst bettors in some of the more niche markets this weekend, with Lando Norris's P4 finish in Bahrain and Ricciardo's P7 that could have been even better. The McLaren cars +450 and +600 to hit the podium, and -162 and -137 for a top six finish after they qualified sixth and seventh.

If you're playing an "experience on a unique track" angle, look no further than AlphaTauri. It's the only team to test its car at Imola this season since the team is headquartered just down the road. Gasly is +550 to hit the podium after qualifying P5 on Saturday.

Gasly qualified P4 here last season, but did not finish because of a water pressure issue. AlphaTauri disappointed in Bahrain, so it might be a good buy-low spot.

Gasly also won a rainy race in Italy last season, the first of his career. Carlos Sainz, now with Ferrari, finished second in that race, with Lance Stroll third.

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