Magic vs. Wizards Odds & Betting Predictions - January 7, 2026

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Another game where the market has moved against me. We press on. Orlando is playing pretty bad basketball right now, again, and the Wizards are suddenly trying to win. They’ve slowed their pace dramatically, and as a result, they are outside of the bottom five in both offense and defense over the past eight games. That’s not much to write home about but it matters when you’re catching almost two possessions against a team that is in struggle mode like the Magic. Some trends: * The Wizards are 9-7 against below-.500 ATS teams. So they cover, and only cover, against teams who don’t cover themselves. * Meanwhile, Orlando is just 4-9 ATS against teams under .500 ATS. So they don’t cover against the bad ATS teams. * The Magic played, and beat, the Pacers last. Teams are 12-23 ATS (34%) ATS after playing Indiana this season. Something about playing the Pacers affects them. After covering, that number drops to 5-13 (28%). * Orlando is 3-5 ATS without Jalen Suggs and Franz Wagner The Wizards haven’t been good ATS at home, but the Magic have been bad on the road too (25th). Washington has improved its halfcourt defense by eight points per 100 possessions over the last five games. It might be a blip, but I also think Washington tanked its early season enough to ensure it retains its top-eight protected pick and now is going to try and win a little bit before All-Star, and then tank again in March to end the season. (My win total over bet on the Wizards laments these decisions.)

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