The Atlanta Hawks (7-6) and Milwaukee Bucks (1-12) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. EST from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wis. The game will broadcast live on WANF.
The Hawks are 7.5-point favorites on the spread (Hawks -7.5), with the over/under set at 233.5 total points. The Hawks are -300 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Bucks are listed as +245 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Hawks vs. Bucks predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, November, 15.
Hawks vs Bucks Prediction
- Hawks vs Bucks pick: Under 233.5 (-110)
My Hawks vs Bucks best bet is Under 233.5 total points, with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Hawks vs Bucks Odds
| Hawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -114 | 233.5 -110o / -110u | -300 |
| Bucks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -106 | 233.5 -110o / -110u | +245 |
- Hawks vs Bucks spread: Hawks -7.5 (-114), Bucks +7.5 (-106)
- Hawks vs Bucks over/under: 233.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Hawks vs Bucks moneyline: Hawks -300, Bucks +245
Hawks vs Bucks NBA Preview
OK, follow along.
The Hawks’ opponent team total is 7-0 when they lose. That sounds inherent; they lost, so they allowed more points than expected, but 7-0 is pretty extreme. When they win, the opponent team total is 4-3 to the under, with an outlier: +22 to the Wizards the other night in an overtime game.
The Hawks’ team total and combined total are also 6-4 to the under when the Hawks are favorites.
The pattern is that when Atlanta can control the game defensively, they win and don’t put the heat on offensively.
They’re going to win this game.
Hawks vs Bucks Pick, Betting Analysis
I happen to think this spread is too wide; I make this game Bucks +7.7, but after I skated through on a Bucks bet Friday with some last-second hijinks, I have no interest in testing my luck. But the Hawks are going to win this game.
I project this game at 230 based on last year’s figures, and shockingly closer to 227 based on in-season numbers. Atlanta is the second-fastest team in the league, but the Bucks’ transition defense is only 13th-worst (look, it’s the Bucks; we’re looking for upsides here).
Here’s the actual edge: the Hawks generate most of their offense from spot-up possessions. They use pick-and-roll and handoffs to create leverage and kick. Defending spot-ups is, weirdly, the one thing the Bucks are good at, top ten defensively. They get torched in pick-and-roll scoring, but Atlanta generates the fourth-fewest shots from pick-and-roll.
The matchup isn’t bad for Milwaukee defensively, comparatively speaking. However, I’m not trusting the Bucks’ offense here to hang inside the number. The trends and matchup, along with my projections, support the under.
Pick: Under 233.5 (-110, FanDuel)
Hawks vs Bucks Betting Trends
