The San Antonio Spurs (11-2) and Utah Jazz (1-12) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 5:00 p.m. EST from Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. The game will broadcast live on DAZN-SAS.
The Spurs are 16.5-point favorites on the spread (Spurs -16.5), with the over/under set at 223.5 total points. The Spurs are -1500 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Jazz are listed as +870 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Spurs vs. Jazz predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, November, 15.
Spurs vs Jazz Prediction
- Spurs vs Jazz pick: Keldon Johnson Over 8.5 Points (-136)
Our Spurs vs Jazz best bet is on Keldon Johnson to score nine or more points, with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Spurs vs Jazz Odds
| Spurs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-16.5 -112 | 223.5 -110o / -110u | -1500 |
| Jazz Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+16.5 -108 | 223.5 -110o / -110u | +870 |
- Spurs vs Jazz spread: Spurs -16.5 (-112), +16.5 (-108)
- Spurs vs Jazz over/under: 223.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Spurs vs Jazz moneyline: Spurs -1500, Jazz +870
Spurs vs Jazz NBA Preview
The Western Conference-leading Spurs enter this matchup riding an 11-game winning streak behind the dominant two-way play of Victor Wembanyama (28.8 PPG, 11.7 RPG, 4.2 BPG) and a dynamic backcourt featuring Dylan Harper (17.3 PPG), Stephon Castle (15.4 PPG), and De'Aaron Fox (13.6 PPG).
Collectively, the Spurs boast the NBA’s best net rating (+13.3), ranking fourth in scoring (119.5 PPG) and second in defensive rating (107.0).
Conversely, the Jazz are mired in an 11-game losing skid following Friday’s 125-118 loss in Houston.
While Keyonte George (20.9 PPG, 6.5 APG), Lauri Markkanen (18.0 PPG), and Darryn Peterson (17.2 PPG) provide offensive punch, the Jazz rank 29th in offensive rating (106.6) and 25th in points allowed per game (118.6).
San Antonio has already beaten Utah twice this season, winning 117-111 in overtime on October 28 and 119-97 on November 2.
Spurs vs Jazz Pick, Betting Analysis
Our NBA PRO Prop Projections identify substantial value on Keldon Johnson to clear 8.5 points, projecting him for 12.66 points — a massive 30.7% edge over the current line and best odds.
Although Johnson is averaging 8.8 points per game across 13 appearances off the bench, his underlying usage and recent form point heavily toward the over. Johnson has seen an uptick in playing time this month, logging 25.6 minutes per game in November compared to 22.5 in October, which has boosted his monthly scoring average to 9.1 PPG.
He enters Sunday in sharp rhythm after erupting for 18 points on 6-of-11 shooting in Friday's blowout win over Golden State, clearing this 8.5-point threshold in three of his last four contests.
Furthermore, Johnson has already thrived in this specific matchup, surpassing this 8.5 line in both prior meetings against Utah this season. He scored nine points on 4-of-7 shooting in Salt Lake City on October 28 before pouring in 15 points on 5-of-12 from the field against the Jazz on November 2.
Facing a leaky Utah defense yielding 118.6 points per game—and with blowout potential that could afford San Antonio’s second unit extra fourth-quarter run—Johnson is well-positioned to cruise past this number.
Pick: Keldon Johnson Over 8.5 Points (-136, FanDuel)
