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The Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from Kia Center in Orlando, Florida. The game will broadcast live on WRDQ.
The Magic are 3.5-point favorites over the Hawks on the spread, with the over/under set at 235.5 total points. The Magic are -138 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Hawks are listed as +118 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Hawks vs. Magic predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, October 21.
Hawks vs Magic Prediction
- Hawks vs Magic pick: Hawks +3.5 (-115)
My Hawks vs. Magic best bet is on Atlanta to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Hawks vs Magic Odds
- Hawks vs Magic spread: Hawks +3.5 (-115), Magic -3.5 (-105)
- Hawks vs Magic over/under: 235.5 (-106o / -114u)
- Hawks vs Magic moneyline: Hawks +118, Magic -138
Hawks vs Magic NBA Preview
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview: Dominating the Matchup
When looking at this spot, I have to rely on historical matchup data and market inefficiencies. The Hawks have absolutely dominated the Magic in recent history.
Atlanta has won five straight games against Orlando by an average margin of 14.4 points per game.
The Hawks match up incredibly well against the Magic, and with largely the same personnel on both sides of the floor, you can't ignore that head-to-head dominance when catching a full possession on the spread.
Orlando Magic Betting Preview: Overpricing the Magic Kingdom
I use three years of home-court data to determine which teams benefit the most from playing at home.
Despite the great vibes and energy in Orlando, the Magic are just +1.6 at home—which is actually below the league average for home-court advantage.
The Magic will also be without Anthony Black, who anchors their second unit. I don't think his absence is properly reflected in this line.
The market is overpricing the home opener for a team that historically does not yield a large home-court edge.
Hawks vs Magic Pick, Betting Analysis
I want to pounce on market overreactions, and I think we have an incorrect price here for the Magic's home-court advantage.
This line bumped from 2.5 to 3.5, likely due to Franz Wagner being upgraded — but at +3.5, this is a must-bet for me.
The numbers are wrong, the injuries aren't priced in accurately, and Atlanta owns this matchup. I will gladly take the points with the Hawks.
Pick: Hawks +3.5 (-115, FanDuel)
