The Cleveland Cavaliers (7-4) and Miami Heat (7-4) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from the Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
The Heat are 6-point favorites over the Cavaliers on the spread (Heat -6), with the over/under set at 238.5 total points. Miami is a -220 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Cleveland is +180 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, November 12.
My Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction
- Cavaliers vs Heat pick: Heat -5.5 (-115)
My Heat vs Cavaliers best bet is on Miami to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Cavaliers vs Heat Odds
| Cavaliers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6 -110 | 238.5 -110 / -110 | +180 |
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6 -110 | 238.5 -110 / -110 | -220 |
Cavaliers vs Heat NBA Preview
Ok, there’s a trend that scares the bejesus out of me, so I want to say that up front.
This is what’s called a Duplex spot.
The Heat and Cavaliers squared off on Monday, and now they’re playing again on Wednesday in the same location.
The results are pretty mid for teams in this spot overall since the NBA started implementing these in the schedule in 2021. But Miami has been particularly awful in those spots.
As a home favorite facing a team they played less than three days ago and beat them in the first matchup, Miami is 39.7% against the spread via KillerSports.com.
This is essentially an “anti-South-Beach-flu” trend.
Whether that has anything to do with the lines or not, it hasn’t been kind.
However, that’s still 40 percent of the time the Heat have covered.
So, let’s talk about this season and this game:
- The Cavaliers are resting Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley, and Darius Garland is out with injury.
- The Heat are 5-0 SU and ATS at home.
- I make this line Heat -13.5 if we use in-season numbers with injury adjustment.
- The Cavs did go 4-1 ATS without Mitchell and 3-2 without Mobley last season on the road. With both out, they went 1-0, but they were 10-point 'dogs in that game.
Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction, Betting Analysis
This line is too heavily influenced by the preseason priors on Miami, which had them as a below-.500 team.
This game is trappy, I can’t deny it.
This reeks of the usual “team without a bunch of players knocks off a team playing well.”
However, the number itself cannot be considered accurate in-season, and is too heavily weighted to priors.
Pick: Heat -5.5 (-115)
Spread
My Heat vs Cavaliers betting prediction is on Miami to cover the spread.
Moneyline
I'm staying away from the moneyline.
Over/Under
No play on the total.
Heat vs Cavaliers Betting Trends
