We have another excellent slate on tap in the NBA today, and the prop market is full of value waiting to be exploited.
Our Action Network staff has combed through the matchups, rotations, and defensive schemes to find the best angles on the board.
Continue below for our NBA player props for Friday, November 13.
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NBA Player Props for Friday, November 13
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7 p.m. | |
| 8 p.m. | |
| 9:30 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Bucks vs. Magic
Nate Ament Over 9.5 Points (+102)
By Jim Turvey
Nate Ament earned his first career start in the Bucks' last game, and I don't see any reason why the coaching staff wouldn't keep running that lineup out there.
Ament only played 22 minutes in that contest, but that was mainly because he lost his entire fourth-quarter rotation due to a blowout. Assuming this game stays more competitive, I am projecting him for around 27 minutes of action tonight.
Even against the Magic, 27 minutes of run should easily have him landing around 11.5 points, alongside 4.5 rebounds and assists. Typically, if a bet relies heavily on minutes, I prefer to default to the PRA, but this 7.5-point line is just too low of a bar for a starting player seeing high-20s minutes.
Ament's usage was admittedly a little bit lower in his first start, which might be why this points prop is popping as artificially suppressed.
However, I am not going to overreact to one single game's worth of usage data, especially since the starting lineup doesn't feature overwhelming usage hogs, even with Tyler Herro taking a lot of shots and Jaime Jaquez doing well off the bench in their respective roles.
Overall, there should be plenty of offensive volume available for Ament here. I think he is being overlooked by the market right now following his promotion to the starting unit. So, I'll back him to score over 9.5 points tonight.
Pick: Nate Ament Over 9.5 Points (+102)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Bucks vs Magic betting preview!
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
Ty Jerome Over 22.5 Points (-112)
By Joe Dellera
Ty Jerome has been an absolute dog this season, putting together awesome performances with consistent volume, and this is a pristine matchup for him to capitalize on.
The Pelicans are currently playing at the fourth-fastest pace in the league, which should lead to plenty of opportunities and extra possessions.
Defensively, New Orleans is a complete sieve in the paint, they are terrible at defending the three-ball, and they are allowing a ton of free-throw attempts.
The Pelicans have been very weak against pick-and-roll ball handlers, in transition, and in isolation—all areas where Jerome excels.
If you look at the track record of opposing guards facing this Pelicans defense, the results are staggering.
Egor Demin doubled his points prop against them despite stinking right now. Keon Ellis, who is not even a natural scorer, cruised over his line. De'Anthony Melton dropped 25 points in 21 minutes on a 27.5 line before getting hurt. Brandin Podziemski, Kris Dunn, and Darius Garland have all crushed their points lines against New Orleans.
Because this is an NBA Cup game, I think there is a real opportunity for Jerome to play a ton of minutes tonight. The Pelicans have shown almost no resistance to perimeter scorers pulling up in their face, and Jerome has been exceptional in those exact spots.
I fully expect Jerome to take advantage of the fast-paced environment and poor perimeter defense to fill it up tonight. I would play this at 23.5 too if the line bumps.
Pick: Ty Jerome Over 22.5 Points (-112)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Grizzlies vs Pelicans betting preview!
Warriors vs. Spurs
Victor Wembanyama Over 27.5 Points (-125)
By Joe Dellera
Victor Wembanyama burned me in the first quarter of his last game, only scoring six points, but I'm not worried—he still cruised over his full-game prop of 29.5 by finishing with 32.
It simply hasn't mattered if the Spurs are winning by 15 or playing in a tight battle; Wemby is staying on the floor and racking up huge scoring numbers.
We saw this exact same nonsense last season when he desperately wanted to win Defensive Player of the Year, staying in games to compile stats and build a unanimous narrative.
This year, the MVP conversation is starting early because Luka Doncic is putting up absurd numbers, and Wemby knows he needs his offensive stats to pop to stay in that race.
Against the Kings in a 15-point blowout, he played 26 minutes and scored 30 points. He dropped 32 points in 32 minutes against the Bulls, and then hung 40 points in just 25 minutes against the Suns.
Wemby is getting out there and going for it.
The biggest shift is that he is just dunking on everybody without a care in the world. While the Warriors have been decent at defending the rim this season, a lot of their tracking numbers are slightly skewed.
Steph Curry isn't playing, and Draymond Green is likely going to play like crap—that’s just how it goes with Draymond sometimes. I have no idea who on that roster is going to cover him.
Over the last two seasons, Wembanyama's floor against Golden State is 25 points, including a massive 41-point ceiling game in just 29 minutes. He is going to put up a huge number regardless of the final score.
Pick: Victor Wembanyama Over 27.5 Points (-125)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Warriors vs Spurs betting preview!
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
Deni Avdija Over 23.5 Points (-114)
By Matt Moore
I project Avdija at 25 points tonight, and there are two key areas why. First, the Kings’ transition defense, which allows the third-most possessions per game in an area you need to limit to slow teams from higher-efficiency shots, and they give up the second-highest scoring efficiency.
The Kings are a blood geyser in transition defense. Avdija leads the Blazers in transition points per game at 5.5, getting to the line on 25% of all transition possessions this season.
The Kings sink the rim consistently and over-help on drives, leaving the middle of the floor open. They are a bottom-three team in shots allowed in the paint outside the restricted area.
Avdija specifically shoots well there, taking the most shots on the Blazers from that location and making 50 percent of them.
Deni scored 26 last time out against Sacramento, and I’d expect another high-usage game for him here with Ja Morant out for this one as opposed to the first matchup.
Pick: Deni Avdija Over 23.5 Points (-114)
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Blazers vs Kings betting preview!
