The Cleveland Cavaliers (6-6) and Miami Heat (5-6) will square off in the NBA Cup tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from the Kaseya Center in Miami, Fla. The game will be broadcast live on DAZN-CLE.
The Heat are 2.5-point favorites over the Cavaliers on the spread, with the over/under set at 235.5 total points. The Heat are -134 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Cavaliers are listed as +114 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Cavaliers vs. Heat predictions and NBA picks for Friday, November 13.
Cavaliers vs Heat Prediction
- Cavaliers vs Heat pick: Davion Mitchell Over 14.5 Points (-114)
My Cavaliers vs. Heat best bet is Davion Mitchell to score over 14.5 points, with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Cavaliers vs Heat Odds
- Cavaliers vs Heat spread: Cavaliers +2.5 (-118), Heat -2.5 (-104)
- Cavaliers vs Heat over/under: 235.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Cavaliers vs Heat moneyline: Cavaliers +114, Heat -134
Cavaliers vs Heat NBA Cup Preview
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been drastically inconsistent from game to game, and I have a tiny edge on them in my power ratings, but there are some glaring defensive issues we can exploit here.
The Cavs currently rank as the seventh-worst team in the NBA in points per game allowed in transition, according to Synergy Sports. That is a massive red flag against a team that wants to push the tempo.
Plus, the news that Evan Mobley is out changes the geometry of Cleveland's defense. Without Mobley patrolling the paint, Cleveland loses its primary rim protector, which opens up straight-line drives and volume opportunities for opposing guards who want to get downhill.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
What does Miami like to do? They like to get out and run. The Heat are going to look to exploit Cleveland's atrocious transition defense at every opportunity.
The spread is currently sitting at 2.5, and I actually make it under 2. Because I expect this to be a tightly contested, back-and-forth game, I am looking closely at late-game execution.
When games are close in the fourth quarter, it becomes Davion Mitchell time. When everyone else on the floor is tired, Davion is the guy who pushes the pace, attacks the rim, and tries to secure the win.
The combination of Miami's transition offense and Cleveland's lack of interior presence sets up perfectly for a guard to have a high-volume scoring night.
Cavaliers vs Heat Pick, Betting Analysis
The Evan Mobley injury news helps clear out the paint, allowing Davion Mitchell to increase his volume at the rim.
Between attacking the seventh-worst transition defense in the league and getting heavy usage in what projects to be a tight fourth quarter, 14.5 is a very attainable number.
I'm backing Davion to score over 14.5 points against the Cavs tonight.
Pick: Davion Mitchell Over 14.5 Points (-114)
Cavaliers vs Heat Betting Trends
