The Houston Rockets (31-19) and Oklahoma City Thunder (40-12) will face off in the NBA this afternoon. Tipoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The game will broadcast live on ABC.
The Thunder are 3.5-point favorites over the Rockets on the spread (Thunder -3.5), with the over/under set at 213.5 total points. Oklahoma City is a -165 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Houston is +140 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Rockets vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, February 7.
Rockets vs Thunder Prediction, Picks
- Rockets vs Thunder pick: Rockets Moneyline (+140)
Our Thunder vs. Rockets best bet is on Houston moneyline at +140. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Rockets vs Thunder Odds
| Rockets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 213.5 -110o / -110u | +140 |
| Thunder Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 213.5 -110o / -110u | -165 |
Rockets vs Thunder NBA Preview
This NBA moneyline system assumes that the betting market and casual bettors slightly overvalue home court in tightly lined games, creating quiet value on the visiting team when it is a small underdog, such as the Rockets in Saturday's matchup against the Thunder.
By requiring that the team we back is on the road and that the game is in the regular season, the system focuses on meaningful contests where both teams are motivated and talent levels are close.
Limiting the spread percentage and the point-spread itself to a narrow band between a pick'em and 6.5 points targets matchups where the road side is clearly competitive but still priced as the less likely winner, largely because the public prefers the perceived safety of a short home favorite — and the Rockets seemingly fit the bill in this spot.
Rockets vs Thunder Predictions, Betting Analysis
In these situations, the visiting underdog often has comparable talent, fresher legs in certain schedule spots, or matchup advantages that are not fully captured in the line, which appears to be the case for the Rockets here.
So, consistently siding with that road team aims to exploit these small but repeatable inefficiencies in how the market prices home advantage.
Let's back the Rockets to pull off the road upset in Oklahoma City on Saturday afternoon.
Pick: Rockets Moneyline (+140)
Spread
We will not be betting either side of the spread in this game.
Moneyline
Our Thunder vs. Rockets betting prediction is on Houston moneyline at +140.
Over/Under
No play on the total here.
Thunder vs Rockets Betting Trends
