The NBA regular season continues with an excellent 10-game slate today — Monday, March 23.
Our staff of betting experts dug into the latest NBA odds and identified best bets for six of tonight's matchups — including picks for Lakers vs. Pistons, Warriors vs. Mavericks, Rockets vs. Bulls, and more.
Continue below for our NBA best bets, picks, predictions, and odds for this Monday.
NBA Best Bets Today: Monday, March 23
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
  | 9:30 p.m. | |
  | 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Spurs vs. Heat Player Prop Pick
By Joe Dellera
The Spurs face off against the Heat on Monday night — and I'll be targeting De’Aaron Fox, who has a solid matchup in this spot.
The Heat play at the fastest pace in the league, and that naturally presents opposing teams with more opportunities for touches.
I would expect Bam Adebayo to see the bulk of the minutes against Victor Wembanyama — and hypothetically, if you could to create a player in a lab to guard Wemby, that player would probably be a lot like Bam.
Miami’s defense often relies on zone, and that’s something that Fox is able to exploit.
No only can he get downhill, but he can also find the little gaps in the zone and score in the mid-range as well.
Although Fox has not played against Miami this season, he scored plenty in his last two games against them.
We have also seen similar lead guards have success against the Heat recently. So, I’ll back Fox to score over 18.5 points tonight.
Pick: De'Aaron Fox Over 18.5 Points (-115)
| | | | | |
Lakers vs. Pistons Prop Prediction
Action PRO is projecting 1.0 blocks for Ausar Thompson in the Pistons' matchup against the Lakers tonight, presenting a solid 8.7% edge against his current prop line of over/under 0.5, which is good enough to tag the Over with a B- grade in our database.
Thompson has been very active at the defensive end of the floor for the Pistons lately — recently highlighted by a 7-steal performance against the Warriors in his latest outing.
He's been doing a little bit of everything for his team on defense — which includes blocking shots.
Thompson has blocked at least one shot in three of his last four games, while blocking a pair of them in one of those contests.
We expect his high effort level on defense continue in tonight's matchup against the Lakers.
Pick: Ausar Thompson Over 0.5 Blocks (-120)
| | | | | |
Grizzlies vs. Hawks Player Prop Bet
By Jim Turvey
Olivier-Maxence Prosper is the nominal center for Memphis, but he has been in that role for the past month now — and even in 16 such games, he's only averaging 4.4 rebounds per game.
This game could easily get out of hand, which would also help the Under.
Action PRO is projecting 4.4 rebounds for Prosper in tonight's game.
Pick: Olivier-Maxence Prosper Under 6.5 Rebounds (-115)
| | | | | |
Rockets vs. Bulls Spread Prediction
By Matt Moore
Jaden Ivey, Isaac Okoro, Anfernee Simons, Jalen Smith, and Guerschon Yabusele are all questionable for the Bulls tonight.
This is a tremendous rest spot advantage for Chicago.
The Rockets are coming off a thrilling win in Miami where they likely stayed overnight, now playing their 3rd game in the last four nights against a Bulls team that has been off for several days.
- Home 'dogs on 3+ days of rest are 50-32-3 ATS (60%) since 2018.
- Billy Donovan is 26-19 ATS with rest advantage since 2021.
- Teams are 14-22 ATS after playing in Miami this season, and 5-8 ATS after winning in Miami.
- Chicago has covered the spread in seven of its last 10 games.
Houston's blowout factor just isn't as strong as you would expect.
The Rockets only have 20 double-digit wins, which is currently the fewest of any Western Conference playoff team.
I make the spread for this game Bulls +3.8 given the rest and travel spot, even with all the injuries.
So, I’ll back the trends with the Bulls here. God, help me.
Pick: Bulls +8.5 (-110)
| | | | | |
Warriors vs. Mavericks ATS Pick
By Bet Labs
This NBA spread betting system identifies value in conference games where favorites are struggling but still favored by the market, such as the Warriors in tonight's matchup against the Mavericks.
When a team has recently underperformed yet remains favored, it suggests the betting line reflects long term strength rather than short term results. These situations often create buying opportunities on quality teams that are due for positive regression after a rough stretch.
Facing familiar conference opponents adds familiarity and stability to performance expectations, while moderate spreads and balanced totals keep volatility in check.
This approach capitalizes on the overreaction to recent form, betting on strong teams to rebound once market sentiment has dipped too far against them.
Pick: Warriors -2 (-110)
| | | | | |
Nets vs. Trail Blazers Spread Prediction
By Bet Labs
Our Bet Labs system titled "Fading Tired Home Teams" targets NBA regular season matchups where fatigue and overvaluation intersect to create an edge for visiting teams.
Home teams that have played multiple games in a short span, often three to five within five days, tend to experience a drop in energy and defensive consistency despite the advantage of being on their own court.
The market often overlooks this subtle fatigue effect, assuming comfort at home offsets physical wear, but in reality, quick turnarounds and short rest lead to slower rotations, weaker transition defense, and less efficiency late in games.
Visiting teams facing these tired hosts, particularly when they are more rested and entering the matchup with focus and travel rhythm, tend to outperform expectations against the spread.
This setup consistently rewards bettors who recognize that rest and intensity outweigh location when home favorites are running on fumes.
Action PRO projects the spread for this game at Trail Blazers -7.9, showing a massive 13.7% edge against the current line of -15, which is strong enough to make Nets +15 an A+ play on our system.
Pick: Nets +15 (-110)
| | | | | |
