76ers vs. Wizards Odds & Pick: Bet On Philly To Get Its First Cover In the Bubble
Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons
- Joe Dellera previews Wednesday's 76ers vs. Wizards matchup, complete with betting odds and analysis.
- Neither team has covered the spread in the NBA bubble, but there's reason to believe Philly could be the first.
76ers vs. Wizards Betting Odds
|76ers odds||-10.5 [BET NOW]|
|Wizards odds||+10.5 [BET NOW]|
|Moneyline||-560/+425 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||230.5 [BET NOW]|
|Time||4 p.m. ET|
The 76ers and the Wizards are a combined 0-5 against the spread in the bubble. One of them has to break that trend on Wednesday. Let’s analyze the matchup to see which team has the best chance.
The 76ers have a coupe players on their injury report: Mike Scott is out for his third straight game with soreness in his right knee while Glenn Robinson III is doubtful with a nagging hip injury.
The 76ers have been one of the best teams in the bubble from an offensive perspective, with the second-best Offensive Rating in Orlando. Their main issue, though, has been on defense.
Per Cleaning the Glass, the Sixers are giving up the second-most points per 100 possessions (124.3), which is a far cry from their season average of 108.6. A primary part of the problem has been their rebounding: They’re grabbing only 69.4% of defensive boards, the third-worst rate in the bubble, a stark contrast to their third-best 75.2% rate before the suspension of play.
Want to guess who the worst rebounding team was this year? The Washington Wizards. They grab only 47.7% of all rebound opportunities, while the 76ers collect them at the second-highest percentage in the league (51.6%).
The Wizards will take their bubble-worst Net Rating (-10.8) to this clash with the 76ers.
The Wizards are not doing much of anything well. They’re struggling to shoot the basketball, they’re not forcing turnovers, and they struggle to keep their opponents off the glass.
If the Wizards want to take this game, they will need big performances from Ish Smith, Shabazz Napier, Isaac Bonga and, maybe most importantly, Rui Hachimura. If Hachimura is able to win the battle against Ben Simmons, then the Wizards may be able to keep this close.
Betting Analysis & Pick
Expect Joel Embiid to once again dominate the paint against a Wizards team that struggles to keep their opponents off of the glass. Per Cleaning the Glass, the 76ers have a distinct advantage in the halfcourt as they should have plenty of opportunities for offensive rebounds and second-chance points.
If Washington wants to keep this game close, it needs to get out in transition. The Wizards are one of the best teams in the league at scoring in transition with 126.3 points per 100 transition plays, per Cleaning the Glass. But the 76ers are also strong at defending those transition opportunities.
The 76ers should take care of the Wizards as they chase after the fifth seed in the East.
PICK: 76ers -10.5