NBA Sharp Report: Pros Hitting 4 Wednesday Games, Including Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Portland Trail Blazers guard Damian Lillard.
- Professionals are not being shy in attacking Wednesday's NBA slate.
- Learn about tonight's sharpest NBA bets, including Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers (10 p.m. ET, ESPN) and Celtics vs. 76ers (7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).
Bettors got a taste of NBA action Tuesday night, but tonight’s 11-game slate is the first full foray into the new season.
Based on our NBA public betting data, casual players are tiptoeing into Wednesday’s matchups, but sharps are taking positions on plenty of tonight’s games.
Professionals have had an entire offseason to analyze these matchups, so it’s not surprising to see smart money flowing on these season-opening games.
Odds as of Wednesday at 10 a.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
In fact, there four contests clearly being hit by professional action, including one attracting sharp money on both the spread and total, which is certainly on the higher end of what we track on a typical NBA slate.
- Celtics vs. 76ers (7:30 p.m. ET)
- Timberwolves vs. Nets (7:30 p.m. ET)
- Kings vs. Suns (10 p.m. ET)
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers (10 p.m. ET)
Let’s look at how wiseguys are betting these matchups.
NBA Sharp Report – Wednesday, Oct. 23
Celtics at 76ers
7:30 p.m. ET | ESPN
Philly opened as a 5.5-point favorite in this matchup and 57% of bettors are on the Sixers, yet this line has ticked down to -5 across the market.
While the slight majority of wagers are on the home favorites, 56% of the money has instead come down on the Celtics, indicating that the bigger bets are taking the points.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, which track and report professional betting action in real-time, fully agree, triggering two smart money indicators on Boston at +5.5.
Sharp angle: Celtics (moved from +5.5 to +5)
Timberwolves at Nets
7:30 p.m. ET | YES
In terms of diagnosing sharp action, this game checks all of the boxes. Brooklyn hit the market at -5 and tickets wagered on the spread are split exactly 50/50.
However, 72% of spread money is on the Timberwolves. Combine that with four Bet Signals — at lines ranging from +5 to +4 — on Minnesota, and it’s easy to see why oddsmakers have been forced to adjust this spread down to 3.5.
Sharp angle: Timberwolves (moved from +5 to +3.5)
Kings at Suns
10 p.m. ET | FSAZ
Similar to Timberwolves-Nets, this game provides a template for sharp action, but pros aren’t just hitting the spread, they’re also hammering the total.
Seventy-six percent of tickets are currently on the Kings, who opened as 2.5-point favorites. However, 72% of dollars wagered are coming in on the Suns. This is a massive bets-vs.-dollars discrepancy and definitively shows that the largest wagers are backing Phoenix.
But remember, big money doesn’t necessarily mean smart money.
The combination of five SI Bet Signals hitting the Suns at +2 and the market-wide adjustment to the current number of 1.5 tells us that those big bets are coming from respected players, forcing oddsmakers to react.
Four Bet Signals on the over also signal that wiseguys are doubling down on the total.
The overflow of smart money has forced books to move this line up to 234.
Sharp angles: Suns (moved from +2.5 to +1.5) and Over (moved from 232.5 to 234)
Nuggets at Trail Blazers
10 p.m. ET | ESPN
In what seems to be the theme of Wednesday’s slate, a big bets-vs.-money discrepancy shows just how money is driving line movement in this game.
Sixty-two percent of tickets have hit the over, but 63% of dollars are on the other side of this total.
Again, SI’s Bet Signals confirm that this money is of the sharp variety, triggering four separate indicators on the under at lines ranging from the opener of 219.5 through 218.
However, there’s been no sign of wiseguy activity at the current line of 217.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 219.5 to 217)