NBA Odds, Betting Picks & Predictions: Pelicans vs. Magic (Thursday, Aug. 13)
Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Lonzo Ball
- The New Orleans Pelicans take on the Orlando Magic at 9 p.m. ET in the bubble. The Magic are the favorite at -3.5 and the total is set at 230.5.
- This game is meaningless for both teams, as Orlando is locked into the East's No. 8 seed and New Orleans is already eliminated from playoff contention.
- Joe Dellera provides betting analysis for Pelicans vs. Magic below.
Pelicans vs. Magic Betting Odds & Picks
|Pelicans odds||+3.5 [BET NOW]|
|Magic odds||-3.5 [BET NOW]|
|Moneyline||+130/-155 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||230.5 (-112/-109) [BET NOW]|
|Time||9 p.m. ET|
This game means nothing to either team, and it shows on the injury report. In fact, it could even benefit the Pelicans to lose so they could potentially fall past the Kings in the standings and in the lottery.
With that in mind, let’s analyze the matchup for any potential betting value.
New Orleans Pelicans
The Pelicans have four players on their injury report as of Thursday morning: Zion Williamson (knee), Brandon Ingram (knee) and Jrue Holiday (elbow) are all out while Josh Hart (knee) is questionable.
Surprisingly, the Pelicans are +0.3 points better per 100 possessions when Williamson, Ingram and Holiday are all off the court, per Cleaning the Glass. However, anyone who actually watches these games knows that’s deceiving: Those three are some of the best players on the Pelicans’ roster and will be missed despite the advanced metrics.
Without that trio, expect Lonzo Ball to step up — there may even be some value on his props (more on that later). Lineups with Lonzo in but Williamson, Ingram and Holiday out are +2.4 points per 100 possessions, per Cleaning the Glass.
The Magic have four players on the injury report as of writing: Aaron Gordon (hamstring), Evan Fournier (illness), Terrence Ross (personal) and Michael Carter-Williams (foot) are all out.
The Magic are preparing for their first-round matchup with the Bucks. I think Orlando will play its starters a bit, but will likely rest down the stretch.
The Magic could use this game to test out a couple rotations and see who on the back end of the roster will get minutes in the playoffs. There are not enough reliable metrics to say how much better or worse the Magic are without the aforementioned players, but based on the eye test, they won’t be as good.
Betting Analysis & Pick
Considering what’s at stake in this game (nothing), it’s impossible for me to bet a side.
There might be some value on props for Lonzo Ball or even Derrick Favors (rebounds), though I highly recommend cross-referencing lines with our player prop tool. Since Favors is set to become a free agent, the Pelicans might give Jaxson Hayes some more run. In their last game against Sacramento, Hayes played 22 minutes and scored nine points with five rebounds.
Given the level of uncertainty with this game, I would recommend staying away. There have been no steam moves at the time of this writing and no sharp action to reveal any edge.