The Phoenix Suns (6-5) and Dallas Mavericks (3-8) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on KFAA.
The Suns are 1-point favorites over the Mavericks on the spread (Suns -1), with the over/under set at 228.5 total points. Phoenix is a -120 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Dallas is +100 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Suns vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, November 12.
My Suns vs Mavericks Prediction
- Suns vs Mavericks pick: Under 228.5 (-110)
My Mavericks vs Suns best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Suns vs Mavericks Odds
| Suns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -110 | 228.5 -110 / -110 | -120 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 228.5 -110 / -110 | +100 |
Suns vs Mavericks NBA Preview
Wait on this one to find out if Anthony Davis plays, which would likely bump the number up, and then still play the under.
The Mavericks are 8-3 to the under this season, and depending on what number you got on Bucks-Mavs, maybe 9-2.
The Mavs can’t score. They have the No. 29 halfcourt offense in the NBA right now via Synergy Sports, and are going under their team total by an average of 6.8 points per game, by far the worst in the NBA.
The Suns have the 10th-best halfcourt offense in the league, but the Mavericks defend pretty well, with the 9th-best halfcourt defense.
Plus, the Mavericks are actually really efficient when they run. They rank ninth in transition offenses per possession, while Phoenix is 26th defensively in that category.
However, the best way to defend transition points is to not allow transition opportunities.
The Suns get back and allow the 2nd-fewest transition possessions per game.
Suns vs Mavericks Prediction, Betting Analysis
So, this is going to be a slog.
You can back the Mavericks in an emotional spot after the firing of Nico Harrison, but I don’t find players to really rally in those situations.
The guy who traded for you or gave you a contract getting fired just makes you uncertain about your future.
But, a Mavericks win looks like a tough defensive effort on the road. Meanwhile, a Suns win looks like another feces drop offensively from Dallas.
Love this under.
Pick: Under 228.5 (-110)
Spread
I'm not betting either side of the spread in this contest.
Moneyline
I will also be steering clear of the moneyline.
Over/Under
My Mavericks vs Suns betting prediction is on the under at 228.5
Mavericks vs Suns Betting Trends
