The Miami Heat (3-6) and Sacramento Kings (1-8) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:00 p.m. EST from Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on WPLG.
The Heat are 8.5-point favorites on the spread (Heat -8.5), with the over/under set at 238 total points. The Heat are -352 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Kings are listed as +280 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Heat vs. Kings predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, November 8.
Heat vs Kings Prediction
- Heat vs Kings pick: Heat -8.5(-110)
My Heat vs. Kings best bet is on Miami to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Heat vs Kings Odds
- Heat vs Kings spread: Heat -8.5 (-110), Kings +8.5 (-110)
- Heat vs Kings over/under: 238 (-112o / -110u)
- Heat vs Kings moneyline: Heat -352, Kings +280
Heat vs Kings Pick, Betting Analysis
This is accurately priced according to market power ratings (-8.7), but I make it Heat -12.5, which sounds a lot closer to what it should be. The Kings covered +15.5 vs. the Spurs but only in garbage time; they were down 20 late in the 4th.
Miami has two days off coming off a desperation win over the Clippers and a clocking by the Warriors on a back-to-back. They are struggling, to be sure. You know what’s great when you’re struggling? The Kings.
The Kings are the second-worst transition defense in the league, and they face the relentless interior attack of Giannis Antetokounmpo on a team that thrives playing downhill.
Miami’s schedule has been brutal, and their two covers this season came against the Hawks and Pacers, who both profile smaller, like the Kings, and closer to Sacramento than, say, the Lakers or Wolves. The Heat’s ceiling so far has been abysmally low, but even with a loss to the Hornets, their floor hasn’t been subterranean.
Miami has two days of rest for a veteran core and ample motivation to bounce back against an outmatched opponent—a recipe for a blowout.
Pick: Heat -8.5(-110)
Heat vs Kings Betting Trends
