The San Antonio Spurs (16-7) and Los Angeles Lakers (17-6) will meet in the NBA Cup Quarterfinals on Wednesday night. Tipoff from Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California is set for 10:00 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
The Lakers are 7-point favorites over the Spurs on the spread, with the over/under set at 241 total points. Los Angeles is a -275 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while San Antonio is +225 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Spurs vs Lakers picks and my NBA Cup predictions for Wednesday, December 10.
Spurs vs Lakers Picks, Props, Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 10 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Spurs vs Lakers Odds
| Spurs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -105 | 241 -110o / -110u | +225 |
| Lakers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -115 | 241 -110o / -110u | -275 |
Spurs vs Lakers Spread & Total Predictions
This total has been steadily climbing ever since Victor Wembanyama was ruled out, and the real betting window opened inside of 24 hours.
The cap here is not especially complex: the over is 10-0 in Lakers' home games and 8-4 in Spurs' road games this season.
It’s the best home over team vs. the 2nd-best road over team in the NBA.
The Spurs’ defense is very good on the margins. They limit 2nd-chance points, fastbreak points, and points off turnovers — but their halfcourt defense ranks 18th.
That’s not a great sign entering a matchup against the Lakers’ 2nd-ranked halfcourt offense.
I have the Lakers projected to score over 100 points on halfcourt offense alone in this game.
For the Spurs, the Lakers give up the second-highest transition frequency to opponents in the league. You can run on them, and the Spurs have so much speed with De’Aaron Fox, Dylan Harper, and Stephon Castle.
I make the total for this game over/under 245. It's an unreasonable number, but that’s where I have it.
You are chasing a lot of steam at this point, but I still like the over up to 242.
Fair warning though, the under is 14-6 in quarterfinal cup play in the in-season tournament.
Pick: Lakers -7, Over 241
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Spurs vs Lakers Player Prop Pick
I love the over for so many reasons, but not for LeBron.
LeBron has moved away from being a primary initiator and way more towards filling in the margins.
He’s averaging 3.7 points off turnovers and second-chance points, and 5.6 points in transition (which includes point off turnovers).
The Spurs, as I mentioned, are top-10 in all three categories defensively.
James is averaging 7.7 points in the paint; the Spurs rank 6th in opponent points in the paint, and have held up well without Wembanyama.
It’s a good spot to fade James coming off the big performance against the Sixers.
Pick: LeBron James Under 18.5 Points
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Spurs vs Lakers Betting Trends
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