The Arkansas Razorbacks face the Murray State Racers in the 2025 Men's College World Series. First pitch is set for 2 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Arkansas enters as a huge -500 favorite on the moneyline with the over/under sitting at 11.5. The run line, meanwhile, sits at Arizona -3.5 (-135).
Let's dive into our Arkansas vs. Murray State prediction and NCAA baseball picks for the College World Series on Monday, June 16.
Arkansas vs Murray State Prediction
- Arkansas vs. Murray State Pick: Over 10.5 (Play to 11.5)
My Murray State vs. Arkansas best bet is on both teams to go over the total, with the best line currently available at ESPN Bet.
Arkansas vs Murray State Odds
| Arkansas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -135 | 11.5 -115o / -115u | -500 |
| Murray State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 +105 | 11.5 -115o / -115u | +340 |
- Arkansas vs Murray State Moneyline: Arkansas -500 · Murray State +340
- Arkansas vs Murray State Over/Under: 11.5 Runs
- Arkansas vs Murray State Run Line: Arkansas -3.5 (-135) · Murray State +1.5 (+105)
Arkansas vs Murray State Pick, Best Bets
The Razorbacks' bats were silenced by the duo of LSU's Kade Anderson and Chase Shores. However, this afternoon, they get a far better matchup against Murray State starter Isaac Silva and the staff behind him.
Silva has not been sharp lately, as he comes in with a 9.88 ERA over his last three starts. Silva doesn't miss many bats and allows plenty of traffic with a K/9 mark of 8.3, and his WHIP of 1.43 portrays this.
After mustering just one run against LSU, we should see Arkansas' lineup bounce back in a big way. After all, this is a lineup that ranked second in wRC+ and seventh in OPS this season.
While I expect the Razorbacks to get to Silva, they should blow this one open against the Murray State bullpen, which has been a concern all postseason long, given the lack of strikeouts and high collective WHIP.
Although, on the other side of this matchup, we've learned that the Murray State lineup can't be counted out against anyone. The Racers can mash with the best of them, and they ranked ninth in wRC+ and 25th in OPS this season.
Their task is much more difficult, as they'll have to contend with Gage Wood. Wood is a peculiar case, as he has elite strikeout upside and leads the nation in xFIP, but his season ERA sits at 5.02.
So, will we see all that positive regression come to fruition this afternoon? Wood certainly has the potential to be lights-out, but this Racers lineup is game and doesn't strike out often. In fact, Murray State ranks 12th nationally in strikeout rate against right-handed pitching.
Look for a breakout offensive performance from the Hogs here, as they'll lead the dance while Murray State claws a few across to get this game over the total.
Pick: Over 10.5 (Play to 11.5)
