The Coastal Carolina Pirates take on the Florida State Seminoles in college baseball's 2026 NCAA Tournament at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, May 30. The game will be broadcast on ESPN+.
Florida State enters as a favorite of -175 on the moneyline and is -1.5 (-110) on the run line. Coastal Carolina, meanwhile, enters as a +135 underdog and is +1.5 (-120) on the run line. The over/under sits at 11 total runs (-110o / -120u).
Let's dive into my Coastal Carolina vs Florida State prediction and college baseball picks for Saturday, May 30.
Coastal Carolina vs Florida State Prediction
- Coastal Carolina vs Florida State Pick: Coastal Carolina ML +140 (Play to +120)
My Florida State vs. Coastal Carolina best bet is on the Chanticleers to win the game outright as underdogs.
Coastal Carolina vs Florida State Odds
| Coastal Carolina Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -120 | 11 -110o / -120u | +135 |
| Florida State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 11 -110o / -120u | -175 |
Coastal Carolina vs Florida State Pick, Betting Analysis
In a shocking twist of events, this isn’t a winner’s bracket matchup in Tallahassee; this is between yesterday’s losers.
Florida State lost to St. John’s (a +375 underdog), while Coastal Carolina dropped a 22-run shootout to Northern Illinois. So, here we are: two of the best recent programs in an elimination game on Day 2.
Coastal’s loss marked its 10th defeat in its last 13 games. FSU’s loss was its third straight.
The Seminoles will throw ace Wes Mendes (2.83 ERA) against the Chanticleers' Cameron Flukey (4.35), who's back from injury.
Flukey suffered a rib injury that sidelined him for most of the season. He returned in late April, and his starts have been spotty. He gave up six earned runs in 2 1/3 innings against Georgia Southern but just one earned run in his last eight innings.
There’s also reasonable doubt for Mendes, who has given up 16 earned runs over his last five starts; he has also struck out 36 over that stretch.
I actually like the trajectory of Flukey over Mendes, and Coastal’s last four losses all came by just one run.
We’ll try to sneak this matchup in between thunderstorms — that’s been the theme of just about every Southeastern Regional so far — but I like Coastal to survive and advance to play the loser of St. John’s and NIU.
I advise caution when betting those hosts that lost Game 1, and I’ll put my money behind those words here.
Pick: Coastal Carolina ML +140 (Play to +120)
