The Mississippi State Bulldogs take on the Texas Longhorns in a top-10 SEC college baseball showdown at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, May 1. The game will be broadcast on SEC Network+.
Texas enters as a favorite of -160 on the moneyline and is -1.5 (+135) on the run line. Mississippi State, meanwhile, enters as a +124 underdog and is +1.5 (-175) on the run line. The over/under sits at 8 total runs (-115o / -115u).
Let's dive into my Mississippi State vs Texas prediction and NCAA baseball picks for Friday, May 1.
Mississippi State vs Texas Prediction
- Mississippi State vs Texas Pick: Mississippi State ML +124
My Texas vs. Mississippi State best bet is on the Bulldogs to win the game outright.
Mississippi State vs Texas Odds
| Mississippi State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 8 -115o / -115u | +124 |
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 8 -115o / -115u | -160 |
Mississippi State vs Texas Pick, Betting Analysis
This series is appointment television for those looking to get a peek at teams we may very well see in Omaha for the College World Series.
The Texas Longhorns have been one of the top teams in the country all season long, excelling with excellent pitching depth and timely offense.
However, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have a very similar profile and are scorching hot, having won nine of their last 10 games.
The market movement for this matchup really tells the story. The Longhorns were initially bet up after opening in the -130 range, but as limits rose, we've seen sizable buy-back on the Bulldogs.
This series opener is a true coin-flip because every aspect of these teams is very similar, from the starting pitchers to the lineups and even the bullpens.
So, with Texas getting too much love at home, Mississippi State holds plenty of value as an underdog tonight.
Pick: Mississippi State ML +124
